OptionProbability
2026
Other
2025
2023
2024
79
16
3
1
I will not receive a set of Airpods 4 from a Manifold user before 2026 EOY
Scenarios not covered by any other answers
50000-100000
100,000 or above
10000-20000
20000-30000
30000-40000
40000-50000
Less than 10000
65
9
6
5
2
OptionVotes
NO
YES
1136
941
304
33
178
68
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