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Prediction markets for Anthropic
Will Senator Scott Wiener be employed by an AI company like Anthropic within the next 12 months?
Aug 17, 11:50 PMAug 25, 6:59 AM
2%chance
52192987
OptionVotes
7000
143
What will be the sum of OpenAI, Anthropic, and xAI's publicly reported annualized revenues by December 31st 2025?
Dec 5, 2:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
4070676
OptionProbability
84
7
3
2
1
1
1
1
Will Anthropic have AI-related IP stolen before 2026?
Aug 1, 5:55 PMJan 2, 10:59 PM
25.41%chance
3412468
OptionVotes
17142
5816
A major tech company, besides Anthropic, reports at least 98% of its code is AI-generated before April 1, 2026
Mar 11, 2:59 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM
16.16%chance
356288
OptionVotes
2278
439
Will OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google DeepMind have AI-related IP stolen before 2026?
Jun 21, 11:37 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
30.77%chance
394586
OptionVotes
1500
667
OptionVotes
1372
729
Will Anthropic, before 2035, pause development for at least a year as a result of safety evaluations?
Mar 7, 1:06 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
29.51%chance
291797
OptionVotes
986
985
Will a OpenAI, Anthropic, Google or Meta release an AI chatbot that has ads in the responses in 2025?
Dec 13, 8:14 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
41.33%chance
161266
OptionVotes
1191
839
If passed, will SB 1047 cover any Open Source model before 2029, not including those of Meta, OpenAI, Anthropic, etc?
Aug 29, 2:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
45.35%chance
61165
OptionVotes
1098
911
Will Anthropic lose the Authors’ Copyright Class Action Lawsuit by end of 2026?
Jul 26, 1:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
17%chance
131121
OptionVotes
2168
802
Will OpenAI announce that they are cooperating with Deepmind, Anthropic, Meta or Google in order to mitigate race dynamics by 2027?
Feb 27, 5:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
63.22%chance
21624
OptionVotes
1103
754
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