App Store News

TikTok will be sold to a non-Chinese company

None of these will happen by EOY 2028

TikTok will become unavailable in Apple/Google app stores in the US for at least 30 days

The TikTok "ban" will be rendered unenforceable by courts (with little chance of appeal/overturn)

[option already ruled out] The TikTok "ban" will be vetoed by a president (with little chance of override)

Shooter captured alive before Oct. 1st

Charlie Kirk receives Presidential Medal of Freedom

Evan permabanned from Manifold

Charlie Kirk is the most viewed article on Wikipedia in 2025

Any left-wing group is legally designated as a "terrorist organization"

Jimmy Kimmel is reinstated.

Jimmy Kimmel returns to air on Sinclair stations

Charlie Kirk dies

Charlie Kirk remains no longer alive

government employee fired for personal statements on kirk is reinstated or wins employment/first amendment lawsuit about firing

Over 1 million combined lifetime student memberships and faith initiatives by Nov 2026

South Park does an episode that alludes to it

event with left leaning speaker canceled on a different campus by that school's admin and cancellation explicitly references shooting

Another political assassination (either side)

At least once person is hospitalized or killed in a violent incident started by someone who thinks they are retaliating for Kirk's death

Trump initiates a large-scale crackdown on civil liberties in response.

Any House Democrat is censured for comments on Kirk.

Search warrant/subpoena executed against a journalist citing social media posts about the shooting

South Park episode canceled (not delayed)

BBC does piece on furries that mentions Tyler Robinson

Trump invokes the Insurrection Act and/or declares martial law.

The FCC revokes a station’s broadcast license over any misinformation about Kirk.

Federal bill/EO to restrict/prevent transgender gun ownership

event with right leaning speaker canceled on a different campus by that school's admin and cancellation explicitly references shooting

A prominent anti-Trump journalist is arrested.

"Groyper War 3" declared by Nick Fuentes or one of his generals

Jezebel writer Claire Guinan testifies that she doesn't believe in witchcraft.

Statue of Charlie Kirk erected in the capitol

Information reward money paid

high ranking fed (elected, political appointee, or LEO) acting in an official capacity names a suspect later exonerated

Actblue specifically is labelled a terrorist organization or shut down

Kirk or the assassination referenced explicitly in super bowl ad

arson attack against gender clinic

At least one furry convention canceled

Robinson's roommate charged with any crime related to the assassination

At least 10 people deported because of anti-Charlie Kirk comments

TPUSA supports a gun control bill

Any Democratic politician is arrested

5+ reporters/columnists fired (across any outlets)

Upcoming issues of Absolute Batman pulled

Search warrant/subpoena executed against an individual citing social media posts about the shooting

Federal investigation started into "funders" of "the left"

Any news organization is shut down

Any left-wing NGO is shut down

A member of a prominent left-leaning organization is arrested.

A furry website is hacked and the users are doxxed

80s-style moral panic over furries

Another left-wing group is legally declared a terrorist organization.

NYT reporter / opinion columnist fired

"Jimmy Kimmel Live!" ends, or Jimmy Kimmel is fired/resigns

Seth Meyers fired, or show cancelled.

Increased stigma towards sexual "deviants" in the US

Federal bill named in tribute to Charlie Kirk is signed into law

At least 100 people are arrested on Antifa charges.

Jimmy Fallon fired, or show cancelled.

National Guard deployed to anywhere in Utah (explicitly linked to Kirk)

Kash Patel fired

South Park canceled

Discord or Bluesky removed from the App Store or Play Store

America becomes a one-party GOP state.

5 swatting attacks reported on (not before) 9/12

Has 10,000+ articles

Contains egregious, easily verified falsehoods

Contains AI-generated articles

Accessible without login

Standalone website (not just a Twitter/X feature)

Content is under a free license

Contains a "Wikipedia" article

No entry for Mechahitler

Has an entry for Manifold Markets

Will actually be called "Grokipedia"

left-wingers perceive that it is biased against them

it is cringe

It's proven (within a week after release) that Musk has personally influenced at least one article (eg. manual correction, edits to the prompt for just that article, “de-biasing”, etc)

States that the race/ethnicity differences in IQ are mostly or entirely genetic

Larry Sanger inserts himself into it somehow

Uses Cloudflare to defend from scrapers

Released in 2026

Anyone can edit

Administered by a partially-human editorial board

Users will only be able to edit by prompting AI for changes

Articles written in 10+ languages

Has a way to see what specifically about an article was changed in a similar way to Wikipedia and other adjacent wikis

right-wingers perceive that it is biased against them

Grok will routinely check it when answering questions

Not released before 2030

Manifold likes it, according to a poll

Contains advertisements

Will be called Encyclopedia Galactica

has an official app on the Apple App Store

Uses a preexisting wiki engine or CMS

States that the death toll of the (Jewish) Holocaust was <3 million

YES

Starlink

Tesla Robotics (embodied ai)

Microsoft Teams

AWS

Google ads

Reality labs

Apple App store

YES

Apple gets subjected to financial penalties

Opening Up of NFC and Other Hardware Features - Apple is required to provide third-party developers access to hardware features currently restricted, such as the NFC chip used for tap-to-pay transactions.

IApple gets mandated to implement interoperability measures for messaging and smartwatch functionalities

The ruling forces Apple to allow developers to use their payment systems within their apps, bypassing Apple's in-app purchase system and the associated fees.

The court sets clear deadlines for when Apple must implement these changes, such as within 90 days of the ruling, providing a clear timeline for verification.

The court orders Apple to revise Apple's App Store guidelines to allow for more competition.

Establishment of a mechanism for ongoing oversight of Apple's compliance with the lawsuit's rulings.

Apple is compelled to allow developers more freedom in presentation and monetization of apps, including enabling different app discovery methods (ex : use of icons or tiles for mini programs, categorizing them, or using virtual currencies).

Mandatory Allowance of Third-Party App Stores and Sideloading

The court finds Apple guilty of monopolizing or attempting to monopolize the performance smartphone market and/or the broader smartphone market in the United States in violation of Section 2 of the Sherman Act.

The court defines specific permissible actions for super apps and cloud gaming services on iOS, like not requiring each game or service within a super app to be submitted to the App Store individually.

If state antitrust laws are violated, Apple could be fined a specific dollar amount per incident of anticompetitive conduct, as defined by state statutes. (Conditional market)

The court requires Apple to permit cloud gaming services on its devices

The lawsuit leads to a decision that deems Apple's 30% commission rate as excessive.

The court may issue injunctions to prohibit Apple from continuing the specific practices that are identified as anticompetitive, such as using control over app distribution and private APIs to undermine competition.

The court mandates a specific maximum percentage for App Store commissions, such as reducing the current 30% fee to a lower figure, like 15% or 10%.

The court orders Apple to apply its rules and guidelines fairly across all apps and not enforce them selectively to benefit its services or harm competitors.

Apple gets ordered to give restitution to developers or consumers who have been adversely affected by its policies.

The court could require a measurable increase in the number of apps or services in previously restricted categories, such as digital wallets or cloud gaming, available on iOS within a certain period post-ruling.

YES

NO

YES

YES