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Top stories

Google Plans 2K Nest Camera Refresh and ‘Google Home Premium’ Service

Google Plans 2K Nest Camera Refresh and ‘Google Home Premium’ Service

Authors

24

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Assistant

Will we learn by 2027 that Maduro’s ouster was an internal coup with US assistance?

Jan 4, 11:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.33%chance

323958

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2084

90

Will over 50% of households in any developed country use an AI assistant for daily decision-making by the end of 2030?

Jan 8, 6:16 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

55%chance

352427

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1025

966

Will assisted suicide become legal in Michigan before 2035?

Aug 3, 3:32 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

27.78%chance

52305

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1612

620

Will the majority of mathematicians rely on formal computer proof assistants before the end of 2040?

Jan 13, 12:20 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

61.4%chance

341368

OptionVotes

YES

NO

999

986

Frontier science theorem discovery fully formalized in proof assistant before 2028?

May 23, 6:26 AMDec 31, 9:44 AM

22.82%chance

111221

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1842

547

Will number of physician assisted suicides in Canada be above 17,500 in 2026?

Jan 15, 4:05 PMJan 16, 4:04 PM

76.98%chance

111158

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1829

547

Will there be a robot caregiver that can take care of a person 80+ years old w/o assistance by end of 2040?

Feb 3, 12:07 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

80.33%chance

32964

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1312

881

Will access to social assistance be automated in France before 2027 ?

Jun 20, 9:58 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

35.19%chance

11258

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1097

953

Will assisted suicide become legal in Arizona before 2035?

Aug 3, 3:37 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

43.83%chance

5256

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1132

883

Daily LLM assistant personal usage exceeds 2 hours for >10% of users on any platform by end-2026?

Sep 23, 2:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.09%chance

3152

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1043

959

Will assisted suicide become legal in Michigan before 2045?

Aug 3, 3:32 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

54.97%chance

2105

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1105

905

Will assisted suicide become legal in Arizona before 2045?

Aug 3, 3:38 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

52.36%chance

150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1048

954

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 25, 2025
Aug 25, 2025
Software
Smart Home
AI Products
Google Plans 2K Nest Camera Refresh and ‘Google Home Premium’ Service
Authors
24
1 year ago

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