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Top stories

Google Plans 2K Nest Camera Refresh and ‘Google Home Premium’ Service

Google Plans 2K Nest Camera Refresh and ‘Google Home Premium’ Service

Authors

24

7 months ago

Prediction markets for Assistant

Will we learn by 2027 that Maduro’s ouster was an internal coup with US assistance?

Jan 4, 11:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.04%chance

263356

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2717

1188

Will over 50% of households in any developed country use an AI assistant for daily decision-making by the end of 2030?

Jan 8, 6:16 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

55%chance

352427

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1025

966

Will assisted suicide become legal in Michigan before 2035?

Aug 3, 3:32 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

27.78%chance

52305

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1612

620

Will GitHub release an assistant, similar to Copilot, able to insert comments in code by 2028?

May 27, 10:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

78.07%chance

121967

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1887

530

Will the majority of mathematicians rely on formal computer proof assistants before the end of 2040?

Jan 13, 12:20 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

60%chance

321333

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1021

951

Frontier science theorem discovery fully formalized in proof assistant before 2028?

May 23, 6:26 AMDec 31, 9:44 AM

22.82%chance

111221

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1842

547

Daily LLM assistant personal usage exceeds 2 hours for >10% of users by end-2025?

Sep 23, 2:03 AMApr 1, 10:59 PM

31.62%chance

16980

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1470

680

Will there be a robot caregiver that can take care of a person 80+ years old w/o assistance by end of 2040?

Feb 3, 12:07 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

80.17%chance

32954

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1302

883

Will assisted suicide become legal in Arizona before 2035?

Aug 3, 3:37 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

43.83%chance

5256

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1132

883

Daily LLM assistant personal usage exceeds 2 hours for >10% of users on any platform by end-2026?

Sep 23, 2:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.09%chance

3152

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1043

959

Will assisted suicide become legal in Arizona before 2045?

Aug 3, 3:38 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

52.36%chance

150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1048

954

Will assisted suicide become legal in Michigan before 2045?

Aug 3, 3:32 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

50.24%chance

15

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1005

995

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 25, 2025
Aug 25, 2025
Software
Smart Home
AI Products
Google Plans 2K Nest Camera Refresh and ‘Google Home Premium’ Service
Authors
24
7 months ago

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