Assistant News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Assistant
If the U.S. stops sending military assistance to Ukraine, will there be a ceasefire by the end of 2025?
Aug 20, 11:16 PMJan 31, 10:59 PM
3434275
OptionProbability
80
15
2
2
By the end of 2025, will any AI beat Pokemon Emerald Version without human assistance?
Jan 15, 9:33 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
18.45%chance
809416
OptionVotes
2114
313
Will over 50% of households in any developed country use an AI assistant for daily decision-making by the end of 2030?
Jan 8, 6:16 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
55%chance
352427
OptionVotes
1025
966
Will assisted suicide become legal in Michigan before 2035?
Aug 3, 3:32 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM
27.78%chance
52305
OptionVotes
1612
620
Will GitHub release an assistant, similar to Copilot, able to insert comments in code by 2028?
May 27, 10:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
76.99%chance
81838
OptionVotes
1829
547
Will the majority of mathematicians rely on formal computer proof assistants before the end of 2040?
Jan 13, 12:20 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
60%chance
321333
OptionVotes
1021
951
Frontier science theorem discovery fully formalized in proof assistant before 2028?
May 23, 6:26 AMDec 31, 9:44 AM
22.82%chance
111221
OptionVotes
1842
547
Will there be a robot caregiver that can take care of a person 80+ years old w/o assistance by end of 2040?
Feb 3, 12:07 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
80.17%chance
32954
OptionVotes
1302
883
Will assisted suicide become legal in Arizona before 2035?
Aug 3, 3:37 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM
43.83%chance
5256
OptionVotes
1132
883
Will assisted suicide become legal in Arizona before 2045?
Aug 3, 3:38 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM
52.36%chance
150
OptionVotes
1048
954
Will assisted suicide become legal in Michigan before 2045?
Aug 3, 3:32 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM
50.24%chance
15
OptionVotes
1005
995
ICE Assistant Chief Counsel James Rodden, "GlomarResponder," leaves role/is fired before December 31, 2025
Feb 19, 11:47 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
50%chance
00
OptionVotes
1000
1000
Latest stories
Latest stories