Aug News

Ohio Man Charged After Sex Toy Hits Girl at Liberty Game

1 year ago

Patriots Rookies Henderson, Chism Lift New England Over Vikings 20-12

NFL

Sports

Patriots Rookies Henderson, Chism Lift New England Over Vikings 20-12

1 year ago

Browns Elevate Rookie Dillon Gabriel to Backup QB; Shedeur Sanders Falls to No. 3

NFL

NCAA

Sports

Browns Elevate Rookie Dillon Gabriel to Backup QB; Shedeur Sanders Falls to No. 3

1 year ago

Will there be official peace talks involving both Putin and Zelenskyy before Aug 2026?

Aug 13, 1:00 PMAug 13, 10:59 PM

1.21%chance

24672715

OptionVotes

YES

28422

323

Ashwin returns to US by Aug 19th 2026?

Aug 20, 3:47 AMAug 19, 11:59 PM

69.36%chance

92778

OptionVotes

YES

150

Total subscriber size of non‑porn AI romance/companionship subreddits on Reddit on Aug 17, 2026

Aug 26, 6:04 AMAug 17, 11:59 PM

72363

OptionProbability

> 500,000

280,001–500,000

180,001–280,000

≤ 180,000

Success of SpaceX Starship Flight 14's catch attempts (~Aug)?

Jun 30, 10:42 PMAug 31, 11:59 PM

382165

OptionProbability

Starship Catch is attempted and succeeds

Booster Catch is attempted and succeeds

Both Starship and Boost Catches are attempts and succeed

Will Apple start making a new iPhone mini before 7th Aug 2028?

Aug 7, 2:43 PMAug 7, 10:59 PM

21.97%chance

181196

OptionVotes

YES

1063

481

Dwarkesh's mystery guest revealed by Aug 21, 2026?

Aug 30, 2:15 AMAug 21, 11:59 PM

3.19%chance

161001

OptionVotes

YES

551

Will the NASDAQ crash before Aug 30, 2026?

Jun 8, 4:33 AMAug 29, 11:59 PM

18.98%chance

13486

OptionVotes

YES

207

Will Tesla run fully driverless robotaxis (no safety monitor) in 3+ US metros beyond Austin by Aug 1, 2027?

Aug 6, 4:12 AMAug 6, 12:00 AM

92.05%chance

7320

OptionVotes

YES

332

Will the DC Circuit rule for Anthropic on the merits in the Pentagon supply chain case by Aug 31, 2026?

Apr 16, 5:41 PMSep 1, 10:00 PM

40.91%chance

11245

OptionVotes

YES

115

If polio is reintroduced in the Americas until Aug 25th, 2029, through which country will it happen?

Jul 8, 10:15 AMAug 26, 2:59 AM

8180

OptionProbability

Other country, unlisted here by the time the first suspect case arises

Venezuela

Other

Haiti

Brazil

Dominican Republic

Peru

Argentina

Bahamas

Ecuador

Panama

Suriname

Will Tesla run fully driverless robotaxis (no safety monitor) in 10+ US metros beyond Austin by Aug 1, 2027?

Aug 6, 4:36 PMAug 6, 12:00 AM

55.44%chance

8120

OptionVotes

YES

115

If polio is reintroduced in the Americas until Aug 25th, 2029, will it cause an outbreak w/ ≥200 cases in one country?

Jul 8, 10:26 AMAug 26, 2:59 AM

15.45%chance

392

OptionVotes

YES

178

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Aug News

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Prediction markets for Aug

Prediction markets for Aug

Prediction markets for Aug

Will there be official peace talks involving both Putin and Zelenskyy before Aug 2026?

Ashwin returns to US by Aug 19th 2026?

Total subscriber size of non‑porn AI romance/companionship subreddits on Reddit on Aug 17, 2026

Success of SpaceX Starship Flight 14's catch attempts (~Aug)?

Will Apple start making a new iPhone mini before 7th Aug 2028?

Dwarkesh's mystery guest revealed by Aug 21, 2026?

Will the NASDAQ crash before Aug 30, 2026?

Will Tesla run fully driverless robotaxis (no safety monitor) in 3+ US metros beyond Austin by Aug 1, 2027?

Will the DC Circuit rule for Anthropic on the merits in the Pentagon supply chain case by Aug 31, 2026?

If polio is reintroduced in the Americas until Aug 25th, 2029, through which country will it happen?

Will Tesla run fully driverless robotaxis (no safety monitor) in 10+ US metros beyond Austin by Aug 1, 2027?

If polio is reintroduced in the Americas until Aug 25th, 2029, will it cause an outbreak w/ ≥200 cases in one country?

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