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Prediction markets for Black
Will the next Agent 007 (after "No Time To Die") be black?
Oct 13, 11:33 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
5.07%chance
8328182
OptionVotes
4292
339
Will Harvard Admit a Class that is Less than 10% Black by 2028?
Jun 29, 7:18 PMOct 1, 10:59 PM
39.02%chance
756000
OptionVotes
1263
1146
OptionVotes
986
845
Will one of the GLP agonist drugs (eg Semaglutude/Wegovy Tirzepatide/Mounjaro) have a black box warning by 2025
Jul 2, 7:40 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
6.87%chance
213474
OptionVotes
3699
434
OptionVotes
1523
825
OptionVotes
1837
498
Will Noam Chomsky get a black bar on hnews when he passes away
May 12, 9:46 AMDec 31, 10:59 AM
26.86%chance
161194
OptionVotes
1698
547
US public opinion, 2026: Worse outcomes for Black people, mainly from discrimination?
Jun 27, 8:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
23.02%chance
101123
OptionVotes
1829
547
OptionVotes
1333
921
OptionVotes
1557
861
Are naked singularities from spinning black holes physically possible?
Jan 2, 9:24 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
23.46%chance
15512
OptionVotes
1042
786
Will "The Lizardman and the Black Hat Bobcat" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Jul 17, 12:51 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
14%chance
118
OptionVotes
1000
1000
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