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Prediction markets for Business
Will the exact value of Busy Beaver(6) be known before 2075?
Jan 30, 4:41 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
41.46%chance
838817
OptionVotes
2080
494
OptionVotes
959
933
OptionVotes
1319
758
Reviver, a digital license plate company, is out of business or failing in CA before EOY 2027
Sep 26, 7:31 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
27.42%chance
171174
OptionVotes
1660
555
Will Elon Musk create a parent company to consolidate his various business interests (e.g., Tesla, SpaceX, etc.) by 2027
Oct 17, 10:38 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM
17.38%chance
18644
OptionVotes
1276
907
Is the 20th Busy Beaver number independent of set theory?
Jan 31, 5:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
49.07%chance
19622
OptionVotes
1214
696
If Manifold Markets as it is now goes out of business, it continues on in a useful form
May 2, 5:52 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
80.02%chance
15413
OptionVotes
1169
929
Temperature market 🌡 : Meta business is good and aligned with humanity flurishing.
Feb 11, 8:10 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
21.88%chance
19413
OptionVotes
1321
881
Temperature market 🌡 : OpenAI business is good and aligned with humanity flurishing.
Feb 11, 8:15 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
33.6%chance
20401
OptionVotes
1061
961
Will Apple have a significant change in business practices due the United States v. Apple trial?
Mar 26, 7:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
73.03%chance
12387
OptionVotes
1103
943
OptionVotes
275
36
What month do you think that Barracuda 2.0 in Okeechobee Florida closes down as in out of business or sold?
Oct 6, 4:38 PMOct 6, 4:36 PM
00
OptionProbability
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
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