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Prediction markets for Business
Will the exact value of Busy Beaver(6) be known before 2075?
Jan 30, 4:41 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
33.12%chance
828373
OptionVotes
1976
671
Will Amazon announce plans to spin off one or more businesses?
Sep 27, 5:23 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
13.39%chance
515695
OptionVotes
3414
512
OptionVotes
964
958
Delaware business entity registrations in 2025 lower than 2024
Dec 3, 9:14 AMJan 1, 1:00 AM
83.92%chance
132202
OptionVotes
2285
438
Will Elon Musk create a parent company to consolidate his various business interests (e.g., Tesla, SpaceX, etc.) by 2027
Oct 17, 10:38 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM
18.07%chance
17593
OptionVotes
1231
916
Is the 20th Busy Beaver number independent of set theory?
Jan 31, 5:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
47.02%chance
18587
OptionVotes
1179
734
If Manifold Markets as it is now goes out of business, it continues on in a useful form
May 2, 5:52 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
80.02%chance
15413
OptionVotes
1169
929
Temperature market 🌡 : Meta business is good and aligned with humanity flurishing.
Feb 11, 8:10 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
21.88%chance
19413
OptionVotes
1321
881
OptionVotes
265
38
Temperature market 🌡 : OpenAI business is good and aligned with humanity flurishing.
Feb 11, 8:15 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
35.3%chance
19351
OptionVotes
1011
987
Reviver, a digital license plate company, is out of business or failing in CA before EOY 2027
Sep 26, 7:31 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
51.14%chance
12332
OptionVotes
1029
953
Will Apple have a significant change in business practices due the United States v. Apple trial?
Mar 26, 7:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
66.02%chance
11286
OptionVotes
1042
875
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