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Top stories

Brazil Orders Meta to Remove AI Chatbots Sexualizing Children

Brazil Orders Meta to Remove AI Chatbots Sexualizing Children

Authors

10

7 months ago

Prediction markets for Community Standards

What is going on with David Grusch's UFO claims?

Sep 18, 12:45 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

12977307

OptionProbability

Massive fraud

Multiple counts of perjury

Advanced human technology

Non-human intelligence

36

31

23

9

Will the COVID lab leak theory be proven by 2027?

Aug 5, 8:45 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

1.29%chance

4315613

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6542

793

Will GiveWell fund Chlorhexidine for umbilical cord care by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.96%chance

123209

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6132

3376

Will there be an "EA university" or similar institution by 31 December 2027?

Aug 23, 4:28 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

14.9%chance

512833

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2059

657

Will evidence come to light by 2028 that microplastics have meaningfully lowered testosterone levels? (READ DESCRIPTION)

Dec 30, 3:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

1.83%chance

121690

OptionVotes

YES

NO

743

14

Will ZFC prove a contradiction by 2100?

Jul 26, 4:26 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

7.48%chance

9333

OptionVotes

YES

NO

352

28

Will PA prove a contradiction by 2100?

Jul 26, 4:23 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

16.66%chance

8227

OptionVotes

YES

NO

224

45

Will mass-movement political activism for AI regulation (such as "PauseAI") get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Nov 1, 7:46 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

70.79%chance

14181

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1013

986

Will relaxed adversarial training be used in practice for LLM alignment or auditing before 2028?

Sep 29, 4:31 AMDec 31, 8:01 AM

78.78%chance

9159

OptionVotes

NO

YES

348

114

Will PA prove a contradiction by 1 0000?

Jul 26, 4:24 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

18.93%chance

4150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

207

48

In Mario Kart World, will players be able to reliably avoid highway tracks in public matchmaking in 2026?

Jan 13, 9:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.51%chance

372

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1052

951

Will "Generalized Hangriness: A Standard Rationalis..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Jul 11, 3:28 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

114

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
Brazil
Policy
Tech
Brazil Orders Meta to Remove AI Chatbots Sexualizing Children
Authors
10
7 months ago

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