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Prediction markets for Democratic
OptionProbability
27
17
9
6
6
4
4
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
40
27
9
6
6
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
OptionProbability
27
13
9
7
6
6
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?
Nov 7, 6:10 PMDec 1, 8:59 PM
37.04%chance
151117929
OptionVotes
1305
768
OptionProbability
62
37
1
0
0
0
0
Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?
Jan 29, 12:35 AMNov 4, 12:00 AM
32.32%chance
7646126
OptionVotes
1210
890
OptionVotes
1151
869
OptionProbability
58
11
10
7
7
6
1
Will the majority of Western democracies cease to be de facto democratic by 2034?
Jun 11, 5:42 AMMar 1, 12:59 PM
5%chance
918354
OptionVotes
2482
1495
OptionVotes
1165
866
Will the Democrats nominate a presidential candidate with a 50% or greater unfavorable rating on October 31, 2028?
May 1, 7:16 PMMay 9, 3:59 AM
40.98%chance
4163
OptionVotes
120
83
OptionProbability
25
25
25
25




