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Prediction markets for Eastern Europe
Will GiveWell fund HPV vaccination to prevent cervical cancer by 1st January 2027?
Dec 18, 12:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
24.26%chance
224741
OptionVotes
5159
2655
OptionProbability
30
17
9
8
8
8
7
6
5
3
OptionProbability
36
25
19
12
12
11
11
11
10
10
10
9
7
Will the American Bullfrog (Aquarana catesbeianus) become extinct in the current century?
Mar 28, 11:28 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
2.18%chance
41155
OptionVotes
1654
352
OptionVotes
1523
657
If the US buys Greenland and makes it a state, will it vote for a Democrat in the subsequent presidential election?
Dec 6, 8:43 PMNov 19, 9:59 PM
84.21%chance
10467
OptionVotes
231
43
Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe through 2027
Sep 11, 4:24 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
63.06%chance
8279
OptionVotes
105
103
OptionProbability
95
88
66
66
63
46
34
OptionVotes
71
68
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