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Prediction markets for Expo
Will China reinstate or enforce export restrictions on gallium after current suspension expires in Nov?
Dec 26, 5:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
35.3%chance
196946
OptionVotes
13549
7392
Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to Zimbabwe export ban exceed 5 kilotonnes on August 29, 2026?
Mar 2, 6:09 PMAug 29, 6:08 PM
69.23%chance
23500
OptionVotes
1500
667
Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to the Zimbabwe export ban exceed 10 kt on September 29, 2026?
Mar 2, 6:09 PMSep 29, 6:08 PM
62.64%chance
32803
OptionVotes
1295
772
Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to Zimbabwe export ban exceed 10 kt on August 29, 2026?
Mar 2, 6:09 PMAug 29, 6:08 PM
62.83%chance
22800
OptionVotes
1300
769
Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to Zimbabwe export ban exceed 15 kt on September 29, 2026?
Mar 2, 6:10 PMSep 29, 6:08 PM
60.98%chance
22750
OptionVotes
1250
800
Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to Zimbabwe export ban exceed 15 kt on August 29, 2026?
Mar 2, 6:08 PMAug 29, 6:08 PM
60.98%chance
22750
OptionVotes
1250
800
Which of 1password or Bitwarden will have user secrets exposed in a security breach first?
Feb 29, 1:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
32930
OptionProbability
57
43
Will Unreal Engine gain official WebGPU export support before Jan 1st 2027?
Jul 2, 7:12 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM
52%chance
14919
OptionVotes
1179
730
OptionVotes
1004
989
Before 2050, will any human pass out from exposure to vacuum in space and then survive?
Mar 1, 12:01 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
34.43%chance
14581
OptionVotes
1010
983
US export restrictions lead to reported large-scale AI chip theft by end of 2026
Jan 16, 8:15 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM
52.72%chance
6541
OptionVotes
1056
947
Will China still be the world's leading exporter (in USD) by the end of 2028?
Oct 21, 4:45 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
63.74%chance
15471
OptionVotes
1009
965
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