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Prediction markets for Expo
Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to the Zimbabwe export ban exceed 10 kt on September 29, 2026?
Mar 2, 6:09 PMSep 29, 6:08 PM
22.74%chance
78605
OptionVotes
1843
543
Will China reinstate or enforce export restrictions on gallium after current suspension expires in Nov?
Dec 26, 5:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
37.51%chance
257828
OptionVotes
12918
7753
Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to Zimbabwe export ban exceed 15 kt on September 29, 2026?
Mar 2, 6:10 PMSep 29, 6:08 PM
20%chance
67528
OptionVotes
2000
500
Which of 1password or Bitwarden will have user secrets exposed in a security breach first?
Feb 29, 1:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
321030
OptionProbability
57
43
Will Unreal Engine gain official WebGPU export support before Jan 1st 2027?
Jul 2, 7:12 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM
51.71%chance
16926
OptionVotes
1184
725
OptionVotes
1004
989
US export restrictions lead to reported large-scale AI chip theft by end of 2026
Jan 16, 8:15 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM
49.45%chance
6605
OptionVotes
1011
989
Will the US implement software export controls for frontier AI models by 2028?
Apr 28, 12:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
78.31%chance
25593
OptionVotes
1370
845
Before 2050, will any human pass out from exposure to vacuum in space and then survive?
Mar 1, 12:01 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
34.43%chance
14581
OptionVotes
1010
983
Will China still be the world's leading exporter (in USD) by the end of 2028?
Oct 21, 4:45 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
63.74%chance
15471
OptionVotes
1009
965
Which anime convention will the Hololive English 5th concert align with?
Aug 6, 6:06 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
11
OptionProbability
50
50
Will I be able to obtain an official 2026 Miku Expo Europe penlight?
May 16, 4:14 PMNov 11, 11:59 PM
50%chance
00
OptionVotes
100
100
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