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Prediction markets for Expo
Nick Fuentes publicly comes out or is credibly exposed as gay/bisexual before 2026
Nov 22, 6:55 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM
7.5%chance
288648
OptionVotes
3513
285
Will the US enact export controls for some generative AI software before 2026?
May 16, 3:19 PMDec 31, 8:00 PM
16.77%chance
252719
OptionVotes
1920
176
Will Usain Bolt be exposed as a drugs cheat by 2050?
Jun 1, 3:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
26.59%chance
201150
OptionVotes
1662
602
Will a cyber attack by a top 10 GDP nation exposing mass private civilian data occur before 2028?
Mar 15, 4:51 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
73.71%chance
23965
OptionVotes
1621
649
Which of 1password or Bitwarden will have user secrets exposed in a security breach first?
Feb 29, 1:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
32930
OptionProbability
57
43
OptionVotes
1004
989
Before 2050, will any human pass out from exposure to vacuum in space and then survive?
Mar 1, 12:01 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
34.43%chance
14581
OptionVotes
1010
983
US export restrictions lead to reported large-scale AI chip theft by end of 2026
Jan 16, 8:15 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM
52.72%chance
6541
OptionVotes
1056
947
Will the US implement software export controls for frontier AI models by 2028?
Apr 28, 12:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
76.8%chance
23513
OptionVotes
1290
868
Will China still be the world's leading exporter (in USD) by the end of 2028?
Oct 21, 4:45 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
63.74%chance
15471
OptionVotes
1009
965
Will Unreal Engine gain official WebGPU export support before Jan 1st 2027?
Jul 2, 7:12 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM
65.99%chance
10362
OptionVotes
1058
954
REE export licenses lapse without renewal by Mar 31, 2026?
Sep 15, 3:37 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM
45.17%chance
4135
OptionVotes
1102
908
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