Friends News

‘Ketamine Queen’ Jasveen Sangha Pleads Guilty in Matthew Perry Overdose

6 months ago

Which member of our friend group will get married first?

Nov 16, 11:48 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

235281

OptionProbability

@hannah (mop 2023)

@theatypicallylargeL (balloon boy)

@astyerche (laughs at his own jokes)

@AlexCao (terrorist)

@cc6 (likes math, chess, speedcubing, and minecraft)

@potatopenguin (social guy)

@AaronCho (chojan horse)

Will our friend J. get a 6-pack by his wedding in 14 months?

Aug 7, 5:04 PMOct 31, 5:01 PM

58.16%chance

132336

OptionVotes

YES

1179

848

Will there be an AI Companion app (friend, girlfriend, partner etc.) with 500 Million users before 2035? 🤖❤🧍‍♂️🤝💻

Apr 13, 4:57 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

67.81%chance

351265

OptionVotes

YES

1083

932

Before 2027, will I enjoy playing Minecraft w/ an AI while voice calling comparably to playing over call with a friend?

Dec 19, 6:28 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

28.89%chance

15839

OptionVotes

YES

1576

640

Will my friends' kid ever be better at any knowledge-work than cutting-edge AI, by 2040?

Mar 26, 12:52 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

15%chance

15782

OptionVotes

YES

1675

819

Where will my single hot friend find her man?

Nov 9, 7:10 PMDec 31, 6:43 PM

14574

OptionProbability

Other

At an EA (Effective Altruism) conference

LessWrong (LW) Meetup

Bay Area Taco Tuesday

Manifold Markets Manifest

Secular Solstice

If Scott Alexander ask ACXers in 2030 whether any of them have had a good friend for more than a month who turned out to (unknown to them) be a chatbot, or who they strongly suspect may have been a chatbot, will fewer than 10% will say yes?

Feb 3, 4:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

70.99%chance

11473

OptionVotes

YES

1025

893

Will my friend deid91 have success on Twitch by 2027?

May 18, 11:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.47%chance

7410

OptionVotes

YES

1410

709

Will my friends Eliot and Serene still be married in 10 years from now?

Mar 13, 11:52 AMMar 13, 12:59 PM

90.15%chance

5345

OptionVotes

YES

397

Will two of my friends break up by the end of the semester?

Jan 20, 9:45 AMJul 2, 11:59 PM

51%chance

3139

OptionVotes

YES

1020

980

Will Facebook increase its friend limit beyond 5000 friends by 2028?

Apr 27, 3:37 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

36.66%chance

473

OptionVotes

YES

136

Will Stephen Hsu's kids become friends with Bryan Caplan's kids?

Mar 11, 2:05 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

57.69%chance

452

OptionVotes

YES

113

100

Latest stories

Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
Crime
Celebrities
Los Angeles
‘Ketamine Queen’ Jasveen Sangha Pleads Guilty in Matthew Perry Overdose
Authors
54
6 months ago

Join our channels

Get the latest stories live on any device.

WhatsApp
Top Stories
Join
Telegram
Top Stories
Join

Friends News

Top stories

Prediction markets for Friends

Prediction markets for Friends

Prediction markets for Friends

Which member of our friend group will get married first?

Will our friend J. get a 6-pack by his wedding in 14 months?

Will there be an AI Companion app (friend, girlfriend, partner etc.) with 500 Million users before 2035? 🤖❤🧍‍♂️🤝💻

Before 2027, will I enjoy playing Minecraft w/ an AI while voice calling comparably to playing over call with a friend?

Will my friends' kid ever be better at any knowledge-work than cutting-edge AI, by 2040?

Where will my single hot friend find her man?

If Scott Alexander ask ACXers in 2030 whether any of them have had a good friend for more than a month who turned out to (unknown to them) be a chatbot, or who they strongly suspect may have been a chatbot, will fewer than 10% will say yes?

Will my friend deid91 have success on Twitch by 2027?

Will my friends Eliot and Serene still be married in 10 years from now?

Will two of my friends break up by the end of the semester?

Will Facebook increase its friend limit beyond 5000 friends by 2028?

Will Stephen Hsu's kids become friends with Bryan Caplan's kids?

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram