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    Prediction markets for Game Pass

    NFL Week 12 - Prop Bets

    Aug 30, 11:10 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM
    152649

    OptionProbability

    35% or higher Kick Return rate

    At least one missed kicking extra point attempt

    Any team scores 24+ points before halftime

    Largest FG made is from 57+ yards out

    Pick Six

    Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT

    Any team scores 40+ points

    At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose

    Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game

    Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes

    Safety Scored

    California Teams (Chargers, Rams, 49ers) finish the week with a better record than New York State teams (Bills, Jets, Giants)

    A 1pm ET game is still going when a 4:25pm ET game starts

    Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game

    Any player throws for more than 350 yards and loses

    MVP Favorite Changes by Wednesday (Josh Allen)

    Bird teams finish with a better record than Cat teams (Win %)

    Team change in top 5 Super Bowl favorites from previous Wednesday to Wednesday after the weeks games

    2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week

    Will a championship belt change teams?*

    A 4th and 11+ is converted*

    At least 5 QBs throw for 300+ yards

    Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-passing)

    Overtime

    4th and Goal from the 1 (or inches) stopped

    Punt or Kick Return Touchdown

    Fake Punt

    For each game, take the GCD of both teams' scores. Is the result for any game at least 8?

    AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back

    A prime number of total missed field goals + extra points

    All Starting Rookie QBs lose

    The player with the most passing yards wears a prime number

    A player gets an Octopus

    A QB has at least 2 turnovers and at least 4 TDs (including passing)

    Fat Guy Touchdown*

    Any 400 yard passer

    Shutout

    3 Missed FGs or Extra Points (from both teams combined) in a Game

    Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game

    A QB has at least 3 turnovers and at least 3 TDs (including passing)

    A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury

    Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

    Scorigami

    For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name

    A lateral more than a yard past the line of scrimmage (non-last play of the game)

    Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game

    Hip Drop Tackle penalty called during any game

    All Starting Rookie QBs win

    Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)*

    87

    84

    80

    78

    77

    74

    71

    70

    68

    62

    54

    53

    53

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    48

    47

    46

    46

    45

    45

    45

    45

    43

    41

    41

    39

    39

    38

    37

    37

    34

    33

    32

    24

    24

    22

    18

    18

    6

    NFL Week 16 - Prop Bets

    Sep 18, 3:40 PMDec 28, 11:59 PM
    52473

    OptionProbability

    35% or higher Kick Return rate

    At least one missed kicking extra point attempt

    Any team scores 24+ points before halftime

    Pick Six

    Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game

    Any team scores 40+ points

    Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game

    At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose

    Punt or Kick Return Touchdown

    Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes

    Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT

    Safety Scored

    AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back

    Fake Punt

    Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game

    MVP Favorite Changes by Wednesday (Josh Allen)

    Scorigami

    Lateral caught at least 1 yard beyond the line of scrimmage (per gamebook) (non-last play of the game)

    Bird teams finish with a better record than Cat teams (Win %)

    Any 400 yard passer

    Team change in top 5 Super Bowl favorites from previous Wednesday to Wednesday after the weeks games

    2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week

    Will a championship belt change teams?*

    A 4th and 11+ is converted*

    California Teams (Chargers, Rams, 49ers) finish the week with a better record than New York State teams (Bills, Jets, Giants)

    At least 5 QBs throw for 300+ yards

    A 1pm ET game is still going when a 4:25pm ET game starts

    Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-passing)

    For each game, take the GCD of both teams' scores. Is the result for any game at least 8?

    Largest FG made is from 57+ yards out

    4th and Goal from the 1 (or inches) stopped

    3 Missed FGs or Extra Points (from both teams combined) in a Game

    The player with the most passing yards wears a prime number

    Overtime

    All Starting Rookie QBs lose

    For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name

    Any player throws for more than 350 yards and loses

    A player gets an Octopus

    A prime number of total missed field goals + extra points

    Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game

    Fat Guy Touchdown*

    A QB has at least 2 turnovers and at least 4 TDs (including passing)

    A QB has at least 3 turnovers and at least 3 TDs (including passing)

    All Starting Rookie QBs win

    Shutout

    A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury

    Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

    Hip Drop Tackle penalty called during any game

    Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)*

    91

    85

    76

    76

    72

    72

    71

    69

    59

    59

    59

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    47

    45

    45

    45

    45

    41

    41

    31

    31

    31

    29

    23

    19

    10

    6

    🏈 Kansas City Chiefs (NFL) Prop Bets 🎲

    Apr 15, 4:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    162295

    OptionProbability

    Scores over 23.5 points in Week 1

    Xavier Worthy has more touchdowns this year than Keon Coleman

    The team moves or is renamed before 2050

    Mahomes retires as a Chiefs player

    Wins a preseason game

    Drafts at least one QB in the NFL Draft

    Rashee Rice plays in 11 or more regular season games

    Patrick Mahomes is top 3 in MVP voting

    Any player (non-QB) scores three or more TDs in a game

    Mahomes passes for over 450 yards in a game

    Bailey Zappe starts in 1 or more games

    100

    100

    47

    29

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    NFL Week 4 - Prop Bets

    Aug 30, 11:07 PMOct 5, 11:59 PM
    132286

    OptionProbability

    35% or higher Kick Return rate

    At least one missed kicking extra point attempt

    Any team scores 24+ points before halftime

    Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT

    Any team scores 40+ points

    At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose

    Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game

    Largest FG made is from 57+ yards out

    Pick Six

    Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes

    Overtime

    AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back

    Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game

    Any player throws for more than 350 yards and loses

    MVP Favorite Changes by Wednesday (Josh Allen)

    Bird teams finish with a better record than Cat teams (Win %)

    Team change in top 5 Super Bowl favorites from previous Wednesday to Wednesday after the weeks games

    2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week

    Will a championship belt change teams?*

    A 4th and 11+ is converted*

    California Teams (Chargers, Rams, 49ers) finish the week with a better record than New York State teams (Bills, Jets, Giants)

    At least 5 QBs throw for 300+ yards

    A 1pm ET game is still going when a 4:25pm ET game starts

    Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-passing)

    For each game, take the GCD of both teams' scores. Is the result for any game at least 8?

    4th and Goal from the 1 (or inches) stopped

    A player gets an Octopus

    A prime number of total missed field goals + extra points

    The player with the most passing yards wears a prime number

    Punt or Kick Return Touchdown

    3 Missed FGs or Extra Points (from both teams combined) in a Game

    Fake Punt

    A QB has at least 2 turnovers and at least 4 TDs (including passing)

    Fat Guy Touchdown*

    All Starting Rookie QBs lose

    Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game

    A QB has at least 3 turnovers and at least 3 TDs (including passing)

    Safety Scored

    Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

    A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury

    A lateral more than a yard past the line of scrimmage (non-last play of the game)

    Any 400 yard passer

    Shutout

    For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name

    Hip Drop Tackle penalty called during any game

    Scorigami

    All Starting Rookie QBs win

    Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game

    Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)*

    86

    86

    80

    74

    74

    72

    69

    66

    60

    59

    59

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    45

    45

    45

    44

    44

    43

    41

    41

    41

    37

    37

    35

    34

    34

    31

    31

    31

    24

    24

    21

    20

    19

    9

    NFL Week 14 - Prop Bets

    Aug 31, 3:18 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM
    72280

    OptionProbability

    35% or higher Kick Return rate

    At least one missed kicking extra point attempt

    Any team scores 24+ points before halftime

    Largest FG made is from 57+ yards out

    Pick Six

    Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT

    Any team scores 40+ points

    At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose

    Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game

    Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes

    Safety Scored

    California Teams (Chargers, Rams, 49ers) finish the week with a better record than New York State teams (Bills, Jets, Giants)

    A 1pm ET game is still going when a 4:25pm ET game starts

    Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game

    Any player throws for more than 350 yards and loses

    MVP Favorite Changes by Wednesday (Josh Allen)

    Bird teams finish with a better record than Cat teams (Win %)

    Team change in top 5 Super Bowl favorites from previous Wednesday to Wednesday after the weeks games

    2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week

    Will a championship belt change teams?*

    A 4th and 11+ is converted*

    At least 5 QBs throw for 300+ yards

    Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-passing)

    Overtime

    4th and Goal from the 1 (or inches) stopped

    Punt or Kick Return Touchdown

    Fake Punt

    For each game, take the GCD of both teams' scores. Is the result for any game at least 8?

    AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back

    A prime number of total missed field goals + extra points

    All Starting Rookie QBs lose

    The player with the most passing yards wears a prime number

    A player gets an Octopus

    A QB has at least 2 turnovers and at least 4 TDs (including passing)

    Fat Guy Touchdown*

    Any 400 yard passer

    3 Missed FGs or Extra Points (from both teams combined) in a Game

    Shutout

    Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game

    A QB has at least 3 turnovers and at least 3 TDs (including passing)

    Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

    A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury

    Scorigami

    For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name

    A lateral more than a yard past the line of scrimmage (non-last play of the game)

    Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game

    Hip Drop Tackle penalty called during any game

    All Starting Rookie QBs win

    Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)*

    86

    84

    78

    77

    76

    73

    70

    69

    67

    60

    54

    52

    52

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    49

    48

    47

    47

    45

    45

    45

    45

    44

    41

    41

    40

    39

    38

    37

    37

    34

    34

    33

    24

    24

    22

    20

    20

    5

    NFL Week 18 - Prop Bets

    Sep 18, 3:40 PMJan 3, 11:59 PM
    62257

    OptionProbability

    35% or higher Kick Return rate

    At least one missed kicking extra point attempt

    Largest FG made is from 57+ yards out

    At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose

    Any team scores 24+ points before halftime

    Pick Six

    Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game

    Any team scores 40+ points

    Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT

    Punt or Kick Return Touchdown

    Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes

    Fake Punt

    Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game

    Safety Scored

    AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back

    Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game

    Any player throws for more than 350 yards and loses

    A QB has at least 2 turnovers and at least 4 TDs (including passing)

    MVP Favorite Changes by Wednesday (Josh Allen)

    Bird teams finish with a better record than Cat teams (Win %)

    Any 400 yard passer

    Team change in top 5 Super Bowl favorites from previous Wednesday to Wednesday after the weeks games

    2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week

    Will a championship belt change teams?*

    A 4th and 11+ is converted*

    California Teams (Chargers, Rams, 49ers) finish the week with a better record than New York State teams (Bills, Jets, Giants)

    At least 5 QBs throw for 300+ yards

    Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-passing)

    For each game, take the GCD of both teams' scores. Is the result for any game at least 8?

    All Starting Rookie QBs lose

    4th and Goal from the 1 (or inches) stopped

    3 Missed FGs or Extra Points (from both teams combined) in a Game

    Overtime

    For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name

    A prime number of total missed field goals + extra points

    The player with the most passing yards wears a prime number

    Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game

    A player gets an Octopus

    Scorigami

    Fat Guy Touchdown*

    A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury

    A QB has at least 3 turnovers and at least 3 TDs (including passing)

    Lateral caught at least 1 yard beyond the line of scrimmage (per gamebook) (non-last play of the game)

    All Starting Rookie QBs win

    A 1pm ET game is still going when a 4:25pm ET game starts

    Shutout

    Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

    Hip Drop Tackle penalty called during any game

    Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)*

    96

    89

    83

    78

    74

    73

    72

    72

    69

    59

    59

    55

    55

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    45

    45

    45

    41

    41

    41

    41

    37

    37

    31

    31

    29

    29

    19

    7

    5

    NFL Week 11 - Prop Bets

    Aug 30, 11:10 PMNov 23, 11:59 PM
    72208

    OptionProbability

    35% or higher Kick Return rate

    At least one missed kicking extra point attempt

    Any team scores 24+ points before halftime

    Pick Six

    Largest FG made is from 57+ yards out

    Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT

    Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game

    At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose

    Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game

    Any team scores 40+ points

    Overtime

    Safety Scored

    California Teams (Chargers, Rams, 49ers) finish the week with a better record than New York State teams (Bills, Jets, Giants)

    Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes

    AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back

    Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game

    Any player throws for more than 350 yards and loses

    Bird teams finish with a better record than Cat teams (Win %)

    Team change in top 5 Super Bowl favorites from previous Wednesday to Wednesday after the weeks games

    2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week

    Will a championship belt change teams?*

    A 4th and 11+ is converted*

    At least 5 QBs throw for 300+ yards

    Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-passing)

    For each game, take the GCD of both teams' scores. Is the result for any game at least 8?

    4th and Goal from the 1 (or inches) stopped

    Punt or Kick Return Touchdown

    A player gets an Octopus

    A prime number of total missed field goals + extra points

    A 1pm ET game is still going when a 4:25pm ET game starts

    The player with the most passing yards wears a prime number

    Fake Punt

    MVP Favorite Changes by Wednesday (Josh Allen)

    Fat Guy Touchdown*

    All Starting Rookie QBs lose

    3 Missed FGs or Extra Points (from both teams combined) in a Game

    Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game

    A QB has at least 2 turnovers and at least 4 TDs (including passing)

    A QB has at least 3 turnovers and at least 3 TDs (including passing)

    Shutout

    Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

    A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury

    Any 400 yard passer

    All Starting Rookie QBs win

    For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name

    A lateral more than a yard past the line of scrimmage (non-last play of the game)

    Scorigami

    Hip Drop Tackle penalty called during any game

    Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)*

    86

    86

    80

    80

    80

    78

    71

    69

    69

    69

    55

    54

    53

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    49

    45

    45

    45

    45

    44

    41

    41

    41

    41

    37

    37

    34

    34

    31

    31

    31

    26

    24

    24

    20

    20

    5

    NFL Week 8 - Prop Bets

    Aug 30, 11:09 PMNov 2, 11:59 PM
    82189

    OptionProbability

    35% or higher Kick Return rate

    At least one missed kicking extra point attempt

    Any team scores 24+ points before halftime

    Largest FG made is from 57+ yards out

    At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose

    Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT

    Pick Six

    Overtime

    California Teams (Chargers, Rams, 49ers) finish the week with a better record than New York State teams (Bills, Jets, Giants)

    A 1pm ET game is still going when a 4:25pm ET game starts

    Safety Scored

    Fake Punt

    Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes

    Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

    Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game

    Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game

    Any player throws for more than 350 yards and loses

    Bird teams finish with a better record than Cat teams (Win %)

    Any 400 yard passer

    Team change in top 5 Super Bowl favorites from previous Wednesday to Wednesday after the weeks games

    2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week

    Will a championship belt change teams?*

    A 4th and 11+ is converted*

    At least 5 QBs throw for 300+ yards

    Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-passing)

    For each game, take the GCD of both teams' scores. Is the result for any game at least 8?

    4th and Goal from the 1 (or inches) stopped

    AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back

    A player gets an Octopus

    A prime number of total missed field goals + extra points

    All Starting Rookie QBs lose

    The player with the most passing yards wears a prime number

    Punt or Kick Return Touchdown

    MVP Favorite Changes by Wednesday (Josh Allen)

    Fat Guy Touchdown*

    3 Missed FGs or Extra Points (from both teams combined) in a Game

    Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game

    A QB has at least 2 turnovers and at least 4 TDs (including passing)

    A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury

    A QB has at least 3 turnovers and at least 3 TDs (including passing)

    Any team scores 40+ points

    For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name

    A lateral more than a yard past the line of scrimmage (non-last play of the game)

    All Starting Rookie QBs win

    Scorigami

    Shutout

    Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game

    Hip Drop Tackle penalty called during any game

    Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)*

    90

    80

    74

    74

    72

    72

    69

    59

    55

    55

    54

    51

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    45

    45

    45

    45

    45

    44

    41

    41

    41

    37

    37

    34

    34

    31

    24

    24

    22

    20

    20

    17

    14

    5

    An algorithm exists that can run on a Game Boy Advance that will pass one of the AGI tests in the linked question

    Oct 17, 4:18 AMMar 26, 6:59 AM
    37%chance
    5335

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1305

    766

    When will SOTA for Atari 100k pass human median and mean score on all 57 games?

    Apr 9, 8:33 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
    5258

    OptionProbability

    2023-2024

    Other

    2024-2025

    Before 2023

    2025-2026

    2026-2027

    2027-2032

    2032-never

    37

    26

    15

    13

    2

    2

    2

    2

    NFL: Will Jordan Love have at least one game with 4 or more passing touchdowns in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?

    Aug 20, 12:34 PMJan 10, 11:59 PM
    54.55%chance
    327

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    105

    95

    What will happen with videogames after stop killing games passes?

    May 1, 1:29 PMDec 31, 11:56 AM
    60

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