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Prediction markets for Game Pass
OptionVotes
2367
423
OptionProbability
100
100
47
29
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will any agent perform better on Minecraft (or comparable open world game) after being fine-tuned on a manual by 2027?
Jul 11, 7:56 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
71.82%chance
131256
OptionVotes
1267
823
Will the NFL single-season rushing record ever be broken?
Apr 24, 3:36 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
80.62%chance
9621
OptionVotes
432
146
Will Dragon Quest 13 feature character designs that resemble Akira Toriyama's?
Mar 8, 4:11 AMFeb 2, 1:29 PM
70.39%chance
9371
OptionVotes
337
182
When will SOTA for Atari 100k pass human median and mean score on all 57 games?
Apr 9, 8:33 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
5258
OptionProbability
37
26
15
13
2
2
2
2
An algorithm exists that can run on a Game Boy Advance that will pass one of the AGI tests in the linked question
Oct 17, 4:18 AMMar 26, 6:59 AM
40.78%chance
4235
OptionVotes
1205
830
🏈 How many games will each NFL quarterback in the Class of 2022 start in their career? (1 start = 1%)
Feb 14, 9:09 AMMar 2, 4:59 AM
5211
OptionProbability
89
34
33
32
OptionVotes
143
70
Will these Google/Microsoft Products will rebrand/deprecated/discontinued (In 2039 or less)?
Sep 23, 12:52 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM
4136
OptionProbability
69
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
32
32
32
32
32
32
32
27
Will there be a Zelda: Breath of the Wild adaptation for Virtual Reality by end of 2030?
Jan 7, 7:39 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
38.85%chance
13109
OptionVotes
1038
970
Will the sequel to Halo Infinite be released during Trumps second term?
Feb 18, 1:04 PMJan 25, 1:59 PM
70.61%chance
255
OptionVotes
155
65
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