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Prediction markets for Gaza
Will there still be Israeli hostages in Gaza, by the end of 2025
Sep 7, 6:22 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM
54.1%chance
164106007
OptionVotes
1086
921
Will the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza?
Jan 3, 7:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
19.94%chance
27874614
OptionVotes
1885
1080
OptionVotes
1754
570
After 6 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza?
Nov 2, 6:19 PMNov 9, 11:59 PM
21322656
OptionProbability
42
24
11
8
5
4
3
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will the ICJ determine that Israel committed war crimes in Gaza?
Jan 3, 7:17 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
92.38%chance
11314826
OptionVotes
6748
407
Will Israel annex a part of Gaza by the end of 2025?
Nov 17, 10:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
12.43%chance
4913203
OptionVotes
2655
377
Will Israel annex any part of Gaza by the end of 2025?
Nov 13, 6:11 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
13.15%chance
5010715
OptionVotes
2570
389
Will Israel establish direct governmental control of the Gaza Strip in 2025?
Jan 22, 4:43 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
6.59%chance
189235
OptionVotes
14919
9525
Will the Gaza death toll be over 150,000 at the end of the Israel-Hamas war
Mar 31, 11:32 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
17.74%chance
328692
OptionVotes
1450
839
Will Israel be victorious in the current Gaza-Israel conflict? [According to Wikipedia]
Oct 10, 2:12 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
39.42%chance
368684
OptionVotes
1417
446
Will Israel break ground on a settlement in Gaza by the end of 2025?
Oct 24, 6:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
22.44%chance
388334
OptionVotes
1831
145
Will a significant number of Palestinians from Gaza be permanently resettled in Egypt and/or Jordan under Trump's term?
Jan 30, 10:03 PMJan 20, 6:59 PM
13.87%chance
272894
OptionVotes
2191
100
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