Gemini AI News

Google, Kairos Power, TVA to Build Tennessee Nuclear Reactor by 2030; Gemini AI Cuts Energy Use 33x to 0.24 Wh per Prompt

10 months ago

OpenAI Expands to India; Meta Signs $10B Google Cloud Deal, Hires Apple Exec; Musk Advances Grok 5 AI; Nuro Gets $203M Funding

10 months ago

Google Expands NotebookLM Video Overviews to 80 Languages

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AI Products

Tech

Google Expands NotebookLM Video Overviews to 80 Languages

10 months ago

Software

AI Products

Tech

Google Launches Gemini-Powered Text-to-Audio Feature in Google Docs With Custom Voices and New API Tools

10 months ago

Will this Yudkowsky tweet on AI babysitters hold up by Feb 2028?

Feb 21, 6:53 PMFeb 22, 5:59 AM

24.4%chance

11515870

OptionVotes

YES

2039

595

By when will Google add ads to Gemini?

Dec 8, 7:05 PMDec 8, 6:54 PM

2411233

OptionProbability

By Jan 1, 2028

By Jan 1, 2027

By Dec 1, 2026

By Nov 1, 2026

By Oct 1, 2026

By Sep 1, 2026

By Aug 1, 2026

By Jul 1, 2026

By Jun 1, 2026

By May 1, 2026

By Jan 1, 2026

By Feb 1, 2026

By Mar 1, 2026

By Apr 1, 2026

7. Sam Altman will step aside as CEO of OpenAI.

Dec 28, 11:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.04%chance

264557

OptionVotes

YES

3638

276

When will AI be able to solve 50% of official Jane Street puzzles?

Mar 3, 11:10 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

302616

OptionProbability

2028

2027

2026

2024

2025

Will Google stick to the same red lines as Anthropic for the US military by EOY 2026?

Feb 27, 11:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.33%chance

20862

OptionVotes

YES

218

Will humans create a SOTA AI model without Multi-Layer Perceptrons by 2029?

May 4, 6:39 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

28.43%chance

11712

OptionVotes

YES

1414

776

[Carlini questions] Cost of a million output words in 2030 for an LLM that achieves at least current benchmark SOTA

Mar 24, 2:14 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

4680

OptionProbability

Below $0.10

$0.10 - $0.49

$0.50 - $0.99

$1.00 - $2.99

$3.00 - $5.99

$6.00 - $9.99

$10.00+

[Carlini questions] Cost of a million output words in 2027 for an LLM that achieves at least current benchmark SOTA

Mar 24, 2:14 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

2575

OptionProbability

Below $0.10

$0.10 - $0.49

$0.50 - $0.99

$1.00 - $2.99

$3.00 - $5.99

$6.00 - $9.99

$10.00+

Will 'From Keynes to the Machine Age' receive substantive critical engagement from qualified experts by 2026?

Oct 11, 4:16 PMJul 1, 10:59 PM

29.88%chance

6532

OptionVotes

YES

1532

653

Will the next major AI model (GPT-5, Gemini 2.0, etc.) be able to correctly predict this market's resolution?

Dec 14, 12:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.91%chance

8249

OptionVotes

YES

163

Largest context window for an LLM from a top three AI lab in 2026?

Mar 9, 7:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5194

OptionProbability

At least 1.1 Million

At least 2 million

At least 4 million

At least 10 million

At least 20 million

Google AI Pro/Ultra usable in third party apps before 2027?

May 16, 8:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.61%chance

545

OptionVotes

YES

134

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10 months ago
Aug 22, 2025
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Google, Kairos Power, TVA to Build Tennessee Nuclear Reactor by 2030; Gemini AI Cuts Energy Use 33x to 0.24 Wh per Prompt
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Aug 20, 2025
Software
AI Products
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Google Launches Gemini-Powered Text-to-Audio Feature in Google Docs With Custom Voices and New API Tools
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8
10 months ago

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Will this Yudkowsky tweet on AI babysitters hold up by Feb 2028?

By when will Google add ads to Gemini?

7. Sam Altman will step aside as CEO of OpenAI.

When will AI be able to solve 50% of official Jane Street puzzles?

Will Google stick to the same red lines as Anthropic for the US military by EOY 2026?

Will humans create a SOTA AI model without Multi-Layer Perceptrons by 2029?

[Carlini questions] Cost of a million output words in 2030 for an LLM that achieves at least current benchmark SOTA

[Carlini questions] Cost of a million output words in 2027 for an LLM that achieves at least current benchmark SOTA

Will 'From Keynes to the Machine Age' receive substantive critical engagement from qualified experts by 2026?

Will the next major AI model (GPT-5, Gemini 2.0, etc.) be able to correctly predict this market's resolution?

Largest context window for an LLM from a top three AI lab in 2026?

Google AI Pro/Ultra usable in third party apps before 2027?

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