Gemini AI News

Google, Kairos Power, TVA to Build Tennessee Nuclear Reactor by 2030; Gemini AI Cuts Energy Use 33x to 0.24 Wh per Prompt

9 months ago

OpenAI Expands to India; Meta Signs $10B Google Cloud Deal, Hires Apple Exec; Musk Advances Grok 5 AI; Nuro Gets $203M Funding

9 months ago

Google Expands NotebookLM Video Overviews to 80 Languages

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AI Products

Tech

Google Expands NotebookLM Video Overviews to 80 Languages

8 months ago

Software

AI Products

Tech

Google Launches Gemini-Powered Text-to-Audio Feature in Google Docs With Custom Voices and New API Tools

9 months ago

Will this Yudkowsky tweet on AI babysitters hold up by Feb 2028?

Feb 21, 6:53 PMFeb 22, 5:59 AM

23%chance

11515794

OptionVotes

YES

2116

571

By when will Google add ads to Gemini?

Dec 8, 7:05 PMDec 8, 6:54 PM

229721

OptionProbability

By Jan 1, 2028

By Jan 1, 2027

By Dec 1, 2026

By Nov 1, 2026

By Oct 1, 2026

By Sep 1, 2026

By Aug 1, 2026

By Jul 1, 2026

By Jun 1, 2026

By May 1, 2026

By Jan 1, 2026

By Feb 1, 2026

By Mar 1, 2026

By Apr 1, 2026

Pacific Coast Highway: can it be driven from SF to LA on these days? (CA Route 1 closures/washouts/fires), til 2030

Jan 9, 9:03 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

96153

OptionProbability

May 1 2026

July 1 2026

March 1 2026

Jan 1 2027

July 1 2027

July 1 2028

Jan 1 2028

Jan 1 2029

July 1 2029

Sep 1 2025

Jan 1 2026

Dec 1 2025

August 1 2025

July 1 2025

March 1 2025

June 1 2025

7. Sam Altman will step aside as CEO of OpenAI.

Dec 28, 11:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.28%chance

244492

OptionVotes

YES

3573

281

When will AI be able to solve 50% of official Jane Street puzzles?

Mar 3, 11:10 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

302616

OptionProbability

2028

2027

2026

2024

2025

When will an AI-related event dominate the mainstream news cycle for at least three consecutive days?

Jan 21, 6:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

172420

OptionProbability

2027

2026

2030 and after. . . or we're all dead before the news comes out.

2028

2029

Will AI models solve at least 2 FrontierMath Open Problems before 2027?

Mar 23, 4:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

75%chance

211142

OptionVotes

YES

422

372

Will Google stick to the same red lines as Anthropic for the US military by EOY 2026?

Feb 27, 11:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.13%chance

19739

OptionVotes

YES

109

Will humans create a SOTA AI model without Multi-Layer Perceptrons by 2029?

May 4, 6:39 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

28.43%chance

11712

OptionVotes

YES

1414

776

Will 'From Keynes to the Machine Age' receive substantive critical engagement from qualified experts by 2026?

Oct 11, 4:16 PMJul 1, 10:59 PM

39.02%chance

3250

OptionVotes

YES

1250

800

Will the next major AI model (GPT-5, Gemini 2.0, etc.) be able to correctly predict this market's resolution?

Dec 14, 12:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.72%chance

8246

OptionVotes

YES

166

Will at least one major LLM publicly document graph-based RAG as a core part of its production architecture in 2026?

Jan 20, 10:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

110

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8 months ago
Aug 22, 2025
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OpenAI Expands to India; Meta Signs $10B Google Cloud Deal, Hires Apple Exec; Musk Advances Grok 5 AI; Nuro Gets $203M Funding
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Google, Kairos Power, TVA to Build Tennessee Nuclear Reactor by 2030; Gemini AI Cuts Energy Use 33x to 0.24 Wh per Prompt
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9 months ago
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Aug 20, 2025
Software
AI Products
Tech
Google Launches Gemini-Powered Text-to-Audio Feature in Google Docs With Custom Voices and New API Tools
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8
9 months ago

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Prediction markets for Gemini AI

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Will this Yudkowsky tweet on AI babysitters hold up by Feb 2028?

By when will Google add ads to Gemini?

Pacific Coast Highway: can it be driven from SF to LA on these days? (CA Route 1 closures/washouts/fires), til 2030

7. Sam Altman will step aside as CEO of OpenAI.

When will AI be able to solve 50% of official Jane Street puzzles?

When will an AI-related event dominate the mainstream news cycle for at least three consecutive days?

Will AI models solve at least 2 FrontierMath Open Problems before 2027?

Will Google stick to the same red lines as Anthropic for the US military by EOY 2026?

Will humans create a SOTA AI model without Multi-Layer Perceptrons by 2029?

Will 'From Keynes to the Machine Age' receive substantive critical engagement from qualified experts by 2026?

Will the next major AI model (GPT-5, Gemini 2.0, etc.) be able to correctly predict this market's resolution?

Will at least one major LLM publicly document graph-based RAG as a core part of its production architecture in 2026?

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