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Top stories

Google Opens Veo 3 AI Video Tool to All Users for Weekend Trial

Google Opens Veo 3 AI Video Tool to All Users for Weekend Trial

Authors

18

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Google DeepMind

The AI company with the smartest AI system by the end of 2026

Jul 30, 8:54 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

969176

OptionProbability

Anthropic

OpenAI

X.ai

Google Deepmind

Other

Meta

44

27

12

10

4

1

Will Google Deepmind and OpenAI have a major collaborative initiative by the end of 2030? (1000 mana subsidy)

Jun 19, 7:06 AMDec 30, 9:39 PM

31.84%chance

778757

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3509

1069

Will any of the below AI companies be nationalized, according to the definition in the description?

Dec 9, 7:39 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

128484

OptionProbability

Any frontier AI company, "soft nationalization"

Other frontier AI firm, "soft nationalization"

xAI, "soft nationalization"

Anthropic, "soft nationalization"

OpenAI, "soft nationalization"

Any frontier AI company, "hard nationalization"

Other frontier AI firm, "hard nationalization"

Google DeepMind, "soft nationalization"

xAI, "hard nationalization"

Anthropic, "hard nationalization"

OpenAI, "hard nationalization"

Google DeepMind, "hard nationalization"

79

64

56

50

49

47

40

39

30

25

21

19

Will Google DeepMind cause human extinction in the next 5 years?

Jul 9, 11:21 AMJul 9, 9:59 PM

3.83%chance

353321

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2700

978

Will OpenAI, Google Deepmind or Anthropic de-domicile from the UK/US before 2027?

Nov 1, 12:50 PMNov 10, 11:59 PM

5.89%chance

223118

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2939

748

Will "Why I Left Google DeepMind" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Jul 15, 6:58 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

90.89%chance

182684

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1779

29

Will OpenAI announce that they are cooperating with Deepmind, Anthropic, Meta or Google in order to mitigate race dynamics by 2027?

Feb 27, 5:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.03%chance

312454

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1229

575

Will a Google Deepmind model be ranked in the top 3 models at the end of 2026?

Aug 17, 5:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.92%chance

222242

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1396

716

Serrano and Google DeepMind publish Navier-Stokes result by 2027?

Jun 25, 4:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.58%chance

291653

OptionVotes

YES

NO

615

16

"Will Google DeepMind release a system where the AI itself (not human engineers) generates improvements to its own code

Nov 5, 9:15 PMDec 15, 11:59 PM

2.55%chance

11912

OptionVotes

YES

NO

618

16

Will "AGI Safety & Alignment @ Google DeepMind is h..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Feb 21, 7:04 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

6.53%chance

2107

OptionVotes

YES

NO

207

89

Will Neel Nanda quit Google DeepMind before 31 May 2027?

Oct 2, 12:58 PMMay 30, 11:59 PM

59.42%chance

215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

72

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 23, 2025
Aug 23, 2025
AI Products
AI
Google Opens Veo 3 AI Video Tool to All Users for Weekend Trial
Authors
18
1 year ago

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