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Prediction markets for Google DeepMind
Will Google Deepmind have AI-related IP stolen before 2026?
Aug 1, 5:58 PMJan 2, 10:59 PM
4.31%chance
3337754
OptionVotes
46223
1947
Will Google Deepmind and OpenAI have a major collaborative initiative by the end of 2025? (1000 mana subsidy)
Jun 19, 7:17 AMDec 30, 9:39 PM
9.52%chance
11922038
OptionVotes
6570
1069
Will OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google DeepMind have AI-related IP stolen before 2026?
Jun 21, 11:37 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
5.71%chance
498516
OptionVotes
4065
246
Will Google Deepmind and OpenAI have a major collaborative initiative by the end of 2030? (1000 mana subsidy)
Jun 19, 7:06 AMDec 30, 9:39 PM
52.59%chance
767314
OptionVotes
2494
1805
Will Google DeepMind cause human extinction in the next 5 years?
Jul 9, 11:21 AMJul 9, 9:59 PM
3.84%chance
323198
OptionVotes
2698
978
Will there be serious AI safety drama at Google or Deepmind before 2026?
Mar 20, 9:53 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
10%chance
342460
OptionVotes
2784
176
Serrano and Google DeepMind publish Navier-Stokes result by 2027?
Jun 25, 4:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
22.38%chance
17907
OptionVotes
186
54
Will OpenAI announce that they are cooperating with Deepmind, Anthropic, Meta or Google in order to mitigate race dynamics by 2027?
Feb 27, 5:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
66.63%chance
21670
OptionVotes
1057
840
Will Google DeepMind hire an AI welfare researcher before the end of 2025?
Feb 10, 10:50 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
30%chance
14524
OptionVotes
153
65
Will OpenAI, Google Deepmind or Anthropic de-domicile from the UK/US before 2027?
Nov 1, 12:50 PMNov 10, 11:59 PM
15.12%chance
12483
OptionVotes
1269
920
Will "AGI Safety and Alignment at Google DeepMind: ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Aug 20, 8:58 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
25.87%chance
4119
OptionVotes
1113
519
Will "AGI Safety & Alignment @ Google DeepMind is h..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Feb 21, 7:04 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
6.53%chance
2107
OptionVotes
207
89
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