Level News

Venezuelan Protests in Madrid and Caracas Demand Vatican Mediation as Ex-U.S. Marine Released in Washington-Caracas Prisoner Exchange

10 days ago

Uber Pours $300 Million Into Lucid for 20,000-Vehicle Robotaxi Fleet

Automobile

Robotics

Uber Pours $300 Million Into Lucid for 20,000-Vehicle Robotaxi Fleet

16 days ago

Uber, Baidu Forge Pact to Launch Apollo Go Robotaxis Abroad

Middle East

Asia

Robotics

Uber, Baidu Forge Pact to Launch Apollo Go Robotaxis Abroad

5 days ago

In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?

Feb 20, 10:45 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

60.5%chance

455372687

OptionVotes

YES

3723

1531

Will Meta have a "mid-level" AI engineer that can write code by the end of 2025?

Jan 13, 7:06 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM

15.68%chance

7147255

OptionVotes

YES

22945

4656

Will Tesla launch level 4 robotaxis this summer?

Apr 25, 8:31 PMSep 1, 11:59 PM

20.68%chance

19838043

OptionVotes

YES

1493

817

In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly-selected computer games at human level, given the chance to train via self-play?

Feb 20, 10:42 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

76.39%chance

24534485

OptionVotes

YES

2862

1836

Will US life expectancy recover from its 2020-2021 "Covid" drop to exceed its 2019 level by 2029?

Oct 24, 3:48 AMDec 31, 2:59 PM

80%chance

4624367

OptionVotes

YES

3882

2007

Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major US city before 2030?

Apr 4, 8:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

83%chance

11419905

OptionVotes

YES

4405

1278

Will there be entry-level AI coders by 2026?

Oct 18, 7:58 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

69.53%chance

12915862

OptionVotes

YES

1562

885

Will a GPT-4 level efficient HRM based language model be released before Feb 2026? [Details in description]

Jul 31, 3:58 PMFeb 1, 11:59 PM

21.13%chance

565495

OptionVotes

YES

193

Who Will Be the First to Reveal Human-Level AGI?

Mar 3, 4:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

594589

OptionProbability

OpenAI/Microsoft

Deepmind/Google/Alphabet

Anthropic

xAI or another Elon Musk-led AI initiative

Another specific company (not one of the above or a subsidiary)

A government or coalition of governments

Meta (Facebook) AI Research

A university/academic institute/independent researcher/non-profit organization or a combination of these

P(Aliens) - Is there human-level or above intelligent life in the Milky Way?

Dec 12, 11:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

43.9%chance

673914

OptionVotes

YES

1197

615

If Trump or other Republican wins in 2024, how many cabinet level departments will be eliminated before the end of 2028?

Jun 18, 12:20 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

143600

OptionProbability

More than 3

Will I pass CFA Level 1 exam first attempt?

Jul 27, 6:09 PMApr 2, 5:04 PM

64.17%chance

8357

OptionVotes

YES

1338

747

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In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?

Will Meta have a "mid-level" AI engineer that can write code by the end of 2025?

Will Tesla launch level 4 robotaxis this summer?

In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly-selected computer games at human level, given the chance to train via self-play?

Will US life expectancy recover from its 2020-2021 "Covid" drop to exceed its 2019 level by 2029?

Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major US city before 2030?

Will there be entry-level AI coders by 2026?

Will a GPT-4 level efficient HRM based language model be released before Feb 2026? [Details in description]

Who Will Be the First to Reveal Human-Level AGI?

P(Aliens) - Is there human-level or above intelligent life in the Milky Way?

If Trump or other Republican wins in 2024, how many cabinet level departments will be eliminated before the end of 2028?

Will I pass CFA Level 1 exam first attempt?

Latest stories

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