Level News

Serve Robotics Buys Vayu Robotics; Wedbush Sees 46% Upside

1 year ago

In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?

Feb 20, 10:45 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

85.72%chance

611543927

OptionVotes

YES

6315

663

Will we fully interpret a GPT-2 level language model by 2028?

Jan 24, 7:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.42%chance

8578624

OptionVotes

YES

23416

4271

In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly-selected computer games at human level, given the chance to train via self-play?

Feb 20, 10:42 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

87%chance

27143405

OptionVotes

YES

4674

1450

Will US life expectancy recover from its 2020-2021 "Covid" drop to exceed its 2019 level by 2029?

Oct 24, 3:48 AMDec 31, 2:59 PM

80.27%chance

4726263

OptionVotes

YES

3926

1996

Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major US city before 2030?

Apr 4, 8:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

71.75%chance

12723488

OptionVotes

YES

3006

1677

Will the German AfD be part of a ruling coalition on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?

Feb 12, 9:43 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

22.76%chance

4410757

OptionVotes

YES

1842

543

If Trump or other Republican wins in 2024, how many cabinet level departments will be eliminated before the end of 2028?

Jun 18, 12:20 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

165400

OptionProbability

More than 3

Who Will Be the First to Reveal Human-Level AGI?

Mar 3, 4:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

685340

OptionProbability

Deepmind/Google/Alphabet

Anthropic

OpenAI/Microsoft

Another specific company (not one of the above or a subsidiary)

xAI or another Elon Musk-led AI initiative

A government or coalition of governments

Meta (Facebook) AI Research

A university/academic institute/independent researcher/non-profit organization or a combination of these

P(Aliens) - Is there human-level or above intelligent life in the Milky Way?

Dec 12, 11:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.48%chance

674020

OptionVotes

YES

1291

509

Will increasing levels of AI/Automation cause a meaningful reduction in sweatshop labor by 2035?

Aug 24, 10:40 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

59.06%chance

673086

OptionVotes

YES

1508

1036

Will U.S. employment in Diagonistic Imaging Centers (proxy for radiologists) go below 2022 levels by 2034?

Sep 15, 9:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61.06%chance

82522

OptionVotes

YES

12522

7986

Will the US Unemployment Rate Exceed Dotcom Bubble Levels before 2030?

Aug 7, 3:45 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70.27%chance

82028

OptionVotes

YES

2040

910

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Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
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Serve Robotics Buys Vayu Robotics; Wedbush Sees 46% Upside
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1 year ago

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In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?

Will we fully interpret a GPT-2 level language model by 2028?

In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly-selected computer games at human level, given the chance to train via self-play?

Will US life expectancy recover from its 2020-2021 "Covid" drop to exceed its 2019 level by 2029?

Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major US city before 2030?

Will the German AfD be part of a ruling coalition on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?

If Trump or other Republican wins in 2024, how many cabinet level departments will be eliminated before the end of 2028?

Who Will Be the First to Reveal Human-Level AGI?

P(Aliens) - Is there human-level or above intelligent life in the Milky Way?

Will increasing levels of AI/Automation cause a meaningful reduction in sweatshop labor by 2035?

Will U.S. employment in Diagonistic Imaging Centers (proxy for radiologists) go below 2022 levels by 2034?

Will the US Unemployment Rate Exceed Dotcom Bubble Levels before 2030?

Latest stories

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