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Serve Robotics Buys Vayu Robotics; Wedbush Sees 46% Upside
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6
10 months ago
Prediction markets for Level
In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?
Feb 20, 10:45 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
42.67%chance
556467615
OptionVotes
2818
2386
Will we fully interpret a GPT-2 level language model by 2028?
Jan 24, 7:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
15.06%chance
8478523
OptionVotes
23744
4212
In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly-selected computer games at human level, given the chance to train via self-play?
Feb 20, 10:42 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
72%chance
26037137
OptionVotes
2451
1978
Will US life expectancy recover from its 2020-2021 "Covid" drop to exceed its 2019 level by 2029?
Oct 24, 3:48 AMDec 31, 2:59 PM
80.27%chance
4726263
OptionVotes
3926
1996
Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major US city before 2030?
Apr 4, 8:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
78.43%chance
12322815
OptionVotes
3710
1445
Will there be MAJOR, HISTORIC-LEVEL protests against Trump during his second term?
Feb 21, 9:33 PMJan 27, 4:59 AM
77.79%chance
6811466
OptionVotes
1873
535
OptionProbability
29
27
22
8
7
5
2
0
P(Aliens) - Is there human-level or above intelligent life in the Milky Way?
Dec 12, 11:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
50.48%chance
674020
OptionVotes
1291
509
If Trump or other Republican wins in 2024, how many cabinet level departments will be eliminated before the end of 2028?
Jun 18, 12:20 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM
153650
OptionProbability
53
28
8
7
4
Will increasing levels of AI/Automation cause a meaningful reduction in sweatshop labor by 2035?
Aug 24, 10:40 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
59.06%chance
673086
OptionVotes
1508
1036
Will a Language Model under 10B parameters play chess at Grandmaster level by 2050?
Jan 8, 8:00 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
88.05%chance
212340
OptionVotes
2605
239
Will U.S. employment in Diagonistic Imaging Centers (proxy for radiologists) go below 2022 levels by 2034?
Sep 15, 9:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
56.94%chance
61500
OptionVotes
11500
8696
Latest stories
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- Serve Robotics Buys Vayu Robotics; Wedbush Sees 46% UpsideAuthors610 months ago