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What will be the official cause(s) of the Air India Flight 171 crash?
Jun 13, 6:55 AMJun 30, 6:43 AM
16649368
OptionProbability
89
22
17
Will GiveWell fund Electronic partogram by 1st January 2027?
Dec 18, 12:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
25.5%chance
1812354
OptionVotes
9625
2195
Will there be an "EA university" or similar institution by 31 December 2027?
Aug 23, 4:28 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
14.9%chance
512833
OptionVotes
2059
657
Will Narendra Modi cease to be Prime Minister of India before 2030?
Nov 7, 6:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
85.28%chance
392009
OptionVotes
1752
784
Will a human walk on Mars before we get a cure for cancer?
Feb 3, 7:29 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM
64.64%chance
241675
OptionVotes
1056
825
Will NASA's mission Artemis III find water and use it on the Moon?
Sep 13, 9:02 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
9.92%chance
281294
OptionVotes
1765
820
Will an Indian science fiction film make a billion dollars at the global box office this decade?
Aug 1, 4:44 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM
15.97%chance
281263
OptionVotes
1470
848
If China tries to invade Taiwan, will India become militarily involved?
Dec 17, 2:17 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
27.02%chance
24814
OptionVotes
1216
900
In what year will India's GDP PPP reach that of the United States?
Jun 9, 12:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
260
Will India extradite Sheikh Hasina to Bangladesh by EoY 2026?
Mar 18, 6:16 AMApr 2, 6:59 AM
40.19%chance
242
OptionVotes
122
82
Will the Mumbai to Ahmedabad high speed rail line open before 2030?
Sep 6, 12:29 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM
66.96%chance
538
OptionVotes
160
110
Will GiveWell make further grants for Kangaroo Mother Care (KMC) before 2027?
Aug 30, 6:55 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
42.37%chance
230
OptionVotes
94
86