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What will be the official cause(s) of the Air India Flight 171 crash?
Jun 13, 6:55 AMJun 30, 6:43 AM
17984332
OptionProbability
92
22
5
Will GiveWell fund Electronic partogram by 1st January 2027?
Dec 18, 12:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
22.02%chance
2413122
OptionVotes
10393
1957
Will NASA's mission Artemis III find water and use it on the Moon?
Sep 13, 9:02 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
2.06%chance
359188
OptionVotes
6735
597
Will the leader of a nonwestern nuclear power make an extremely ASI-pilled public statement before 2031?
Jan 12, 8:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
83.15%chance
213277
OptionVotes
2222
450
Will there be an "EA university" or similar institution by 31 December 2027?
Aug 23, 4:28 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
14.42%chance
532884
OptionVotes
2110
648
Will Narendra Modi cease to be Prime Minister of India before 2030?
Nov 7, 6:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
83.63%chance
412037
OptionVotes
1600
812
Will a human walk on Mars before we get a cure for cancer?
Feb 3, 7:29 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM
68.25%chance
241825
OptionVotes
1006
924
Will India extradite Sheikh Hasina to Bangladesh by EoY 2026?
Mar 18, 6:16 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
13%chance
151438
OptionVotes
259
39
Will an Indian science fiction film make a billion dollars at the global box office this decade?
Aug 1, 4:44 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM
16.29%chance
301318
OptionVotes
1444
853
OptionProbability
72
72
59
44
5
OptionVotes
1115
1009
In what year will India's GDP PPP reach that of the United States?
Jun 9, 12:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
471
OptionProbability
21
19
19
19
13
8
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