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Prediction markets for Marathon

When will someone run a marathon under 2:00 hours at an officially sanctioned race?

Nov 13, 2:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.33%chance

287564

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1657

359

Will a legal sub two-hour marathon be run before December 31, 2025.

Nov 13, 12:20 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.65%chance

243683

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3209

317

Will someone run a marathon wearing an Apple Vision Pro?

Feb 11, 5:36 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

8.02%chance

272842

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3008

589

Will humans run a two hour marathon before humanoid robots?

Apr 19, 7:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.52%chance

321958

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1010

990

Will Taylor Swift get married before a swift human breaks the 2h00m00s official marathon barrier?

Jan 12, 11:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

58.12%chance

371911

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1994

1977

Will Eliud Kipchoge ever win the NYC or Boston marathon?

May 7, 1:02 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.03%chance

81844

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1327

299

Will a human run a marathon under 2 hours before the Russia-Ukraine war ends

Mar 29, 9:40 PMDec 6, 4:59 AM

35.43%chance

221455

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1250

775

Marathon hits 100K concurrent Steam players before 2026?

Apr 21, 6:51 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

3.49%chance

8833

OptionVotes

YES

NO

526

19

Will a bipedal robot run a marathon in under 3 hours before a human runs a marathon in under 2 hours

Apr 2, 7:40 PMApr 10, 3:59 AM

40.01%chance

10565

OptionVotes

NO

YES

220

207

Will Marathon (Bungie's new game) release before the Legend of Zelda Movie (Nintendo)?

Dec 26, 2:58 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

34.63%chance

12200

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1049

958

Marathon Fusion gold alchemy preprint published by the end of 2025?

Jul 19, 3:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

43.92%chance

5157

OptionVotes

YES

NO

689

519

Will a human win the annual 2026 Human vs Horse "Marathon" Race?

Jun 30, 3:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56%chance

571

OptionVotes

NO

YES

113

89

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