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Top stories

Bungie CEO Pete Parsons Exits as Veteran Justin Truman Takes Helm

Bungie CEO Pete Parsons Exits as Veteran Justin Truman Takes Helm

Authors

13

6 months ago

Prediction markets for Marathon

Will Taylor Swift get married before a swift human breaks the 2h00m00s official marathon barrier?

Jan 12, 11:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

88.94%chance

439164

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5533

947

When will someone run a marathon under 2:00 hours at an officially sanctioned race?

Nov 13, 2:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.33%chance

287564

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1657

359

Will Eliud Kipchoge ever win the NYC or Boston marathon?

May 7, 1:02 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.79%chance

103560

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2072

353

Will humans run a two hour marathon before humanoid robots?

Apr 19, 7:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58.63%chance

332158

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1190

840

Will a human run a marathon under 2 hours before the Russia-Ukraine war ends

Mar 29, 9:40 PMDec 6, 4:59 AM

28.86%chance

241855

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1477

677

Will I run a marathon in 2026?

Jan 2, 10:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

75.98%chance

121542

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1781

563

Humanoid robot breaks human marathon record before 2027?

Apr 19, 12:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.61%chance

311495

OptionVotes

YES

NO

455

22

In what year will a bipedal robot break the human marathon world record time?

Mar 10, 4:59 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10675

OptionProbability

2027

2026

2028

Other

2029

2030

2031

2025

29

15

15

11

10

8

6

5

Will Marathon (Bungie's new game) release before the Legend of Zelda Movie (Nintendo)?

Dec 26, 2:58 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

39.67%chance

14621

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1037

915

There will be at least one female finisher at this year's [2026] Barkley Marathons

Jan 17, 6:34 AMApr 20, 11:59 PM

10.96%chance

5380

OptionVotes

YES

NO

285

35

Will Marathon (Bungie's new game) release before an official marathon is run in 2h00m00s?

Jan 12, 11:55 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

74.52%chance

7194

OptionVotes

NO

YES

237

105

Will the Barkley Marathons still be run in something like its current form in the year 2033?

May 2, 5:55 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

57.41%chance

532

OptionVotes

NO

YES

94

86

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
Video Games
Business
Culture
Bungie CEO Pete Parsons Exits as Veteran Justin Truman Takes Helm
Authors
13
6 months ago

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