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Top stories

Bungie CEO Pete Parsons Exits as Veteran Justin Truman Takes Helm

Bungie CEO Pete Parsons Exits as Veteran Justin Truman Takes Helm

Authors

13

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Marathon

Will I run a marathon in 2026?

Jan 2, 10:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.38%chance

152437

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1138

881

Humanoid robot breaks human marathon record before 2027?

Apr 19, 12:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.38%chance

412321

OptionVotes

YES

NO

103

97

Humanoid Robot Finishes a Half Marathon Under 2 Hours by 2030

Feb 4, 9:44 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

99%chance

191705

OptionVotes

NO

YES

995

10

In what year will a bipedal robot break the human marathon world record time?

Mar 10, 4:59 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

141470

OptionProbability

2027

2026

2028

Other

2029

2030

2031

2025

35

19

13

11

9

7

4

2

Will at least one World Marathon Major be won under 2 hours every year until end of 2029?

Apr 26, 1:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

75.02%chance

271370

OptionVotes

NO

YES

610

430

Sub-2 World Marathon Majors 2026-2029

Apr 27, 2:53 PMDec 27, 3:47 PM

7743

OptionProbability

Chicago 2028

Berlin 2028

Berlin 2029

Chicago 2029

Berlin 2026

Chicago 2027

Berlin 2027

London 2029

Sydney 2029

New York 2029

Chicago 2026

Sydney 2027

Tokyo 2028

Tokyo 2029

Tokyo 2027

London 2028

Sydney 2028

London 2027

New York 2028

Boston 2029

Boston 2028

Boston 2027

New York 2027

New York 2026

Sydney 2026

68

68

67

66

57

55

55

50

50

41

38

38

38

38

35

28

28

27

27

27

21

20

20

15

7

Moon marathon before 2100

Oct 19, 5:55 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

32.01%chance

9212

OptionVotes

YES

NO

264

205

Sub-1:59 marathon before LA Olympics?

Apr 27, 2:44 PMJul 13, 11:59 PM

35.21%chance

6165

OptionVotes

YES

NO

136

74

Is 7A+ harder than marathon?

Oct 25, 9:50 AMDec 31, 9:06 AM

75.27%chance

6144

OptionVotes

NO

YES

174

57

Mars marathon before 2100

Oct 19, 5:56 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

58%chance

7118

OptionVotes

NO

YES

165

89

Will a human win the annual 2026 Human vs Horse "Marathon" Race?

Jun 30, 3:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.45%chance

672

OptionVotes

NO

YES

112

90

Will the Barkley Marathons still be run in something like its current form in the year 2033?

May 2, 5:55 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

61.82%chance

642

OptionVotes

NO

YES

104

79

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Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
Video Games
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Bungie CEO Pete Parsons Exits as Veteran Justin Truman Takes Helm
Authors
13
1 year ago

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