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Top stories

Bungie CEO Pete Parsons Exits as Veteran Justin Truman Takes Helm

Bungie CEO Pete Parsons Exits as Veteran Justin Truman Takes Helm

Authors

13

7 months ago

Prediction markets for Marathon

Will Taylor Swift get married before a swift human breaks the 2h00m00s official marathon barrier?

Jan 12, 11:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

88.94%chance

439164

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5533

947

When will someone run a marathon under 2:00 hours at an officially sanctioned race?

Nov 13, 2:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.33%chance

287564

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1398

100

Who will break 2:00 in the marathon?

Dec 10, 3:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

187415

OptionProbability

Other

Jacob Kiplimo

No one by market close

Sabastian Sawe

John Korir

Sisay Lemma

Alexander Mutiso Munyao

Eliud Kipchoge

Evans Chebet

Kelvin Kiptum

31

21

18

14

10

2

2

1

1

0

Will Eliud Kipchoge ever win the NYC or Boston marathon?

May 7, 1:02 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.79%chance

103560

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2072

353

Will humans run a two hour marathon before humanoid robots?

Apr 19, 7:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58.63%chance

332158

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1190

840

Will a human run a marathon under 2 hours before the Russia-Ukraine war ends

Mar 29, 9:40 PMDec 6, 4:59 AM

28.86%chance

241855

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1477

677

Will I run a marathon in 2026?

Jan 2, 10:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

74.39%chance

131816

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1706

587

Humanoid robot breaks human marathon record before 2027?

Apr 19, 12:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.61%chance

311495

OptionVotes

YES

NO

455

22

Will a bipedal robot run a marathon in under 3 hours before a human runs a marathon in under 2 hours

Apr 2, 7:40 PMApr 10, 3:59 AM

53.93%chance

11811

OptionVotes

NO

YES

274

147

In what year will a bipedal robot break the human marathon world record time?

Mar 10, 4:59 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10675

OptionProbability

2027

2026

2028

Other

2029

2030

2031

2025

29

15

15

11

10

8

6

5

2026 London Marathon Winner (Men)

Mar 22, 12:21 AMApr 26, 12:00 PM

375

OptionProbability

Sabastian Sawe

Joshua Cheptegei

Other

Jacob Kiplimo

Tamirat Tola

33

19

19

16

14

Will a human win the annual 2026 Human vs Horse "Marathon" Race?

Jun 30, 3:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.45%chance

672

OptionVotes

NO

YES

112

90

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Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
Video Games
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Bungie CEO Pete Parsons Exits as Veteran Justin Truman Takes Helm
Authors
13
7 months ago

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