Mass News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Mass
Will there be a larger amount of mass intentionally sent “downhill” to Earth from space than “uphill” in 2050?
Jan 17, 12:00 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
39.98%chance
2212035
OptionVotes
12261
8153
Will any mass-produced electric car or truck have a range of at least 1000 miles by the end of 2029?
Dec 12, 4:26 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
18.9%chance
7010719
OptionVotes
2233
521
Will GiveWell fund Mass distribution of azithromycin to reduce child mortality by 1st January 2027?
Dec 17, 4:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
26.08%chance
188507
OptionVotes
6378
3288
Did the IDF bury hundreds of Palestinian civilians in mass graves near Nasser and Al-Shifa hospitals?
Apr 24, 2:46 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM
27.33%chance
695805
OptionVotes
2438
2205
Will more than 10,000 people die as a result of Trump's mass deportations?
Nov 8, 7:08 PMFeb 2, 7:59 AM
15.52%chance
312448
OptionVotes
3573
1530
Will at least one >80% subsaharan ancestry country score above Ukraine on PISA for at least one year before 2100 without mass genetic enhancement?
Jan 17, 10:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
30.5%chance
241211
OptionVotes
1938
1060
Will food prices rise by 15% or more after mass deportations?
Sep 17, 6:31 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
66.31%chance
9969
OptionVotes
1403
713
Will a mass driver be constructed on the Moon before 2100?
Jun 10, 12:45 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM
65.09%chance
18826
OptionVotes
1000
954
Will Neuralink release a mass market commercial neural implant by 2030?
Jan 10, 1:12 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
24.9%chance
18659
OptionVotes
1035
977
Will any state or company implement mass production of living humans by 2200?
Mar 2, 5:39 PMJan 1, 8:59 PM
26.98%chance
18561
OptionVotes
1009
983
Will there be a mass-produced reversible computer on the market by 2032?
May 16, 12:26 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
24.64%chance
15370
OptionVotes
1070
973
Will mass-movement political activism for AI regulation (such as "PauseAI") get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
Nov 1, 7:46 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
70.79%chance
14181
OptionVotes
1013
986
Latest stories
Latest stories