May News

Mexico City Detains 13, Including Three Directly Involved, in May Killings of Mayor Brugada’s Collaborators Amid CJNG Arms Arrests

1 year ago

Germany

War

Politics

NYT: Russian Drones Track U.S. Arms Routes in Germany; Kremlin Denies

1 year ago

All Millennium Prize Problems solved before May 2027?

Sep 8, 11:12 PMApr 30, 11:59 PM

8.05%chance

90210725

OptionVotes

YES

3380

296

Eliezer Yudkowsky is impressed by a machine learning model, and believes that the model may be very helpful for alignment research, by the end of 2026

Dec 5, 6:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.38%chance

6610114

OptionVotes

YES

2385

878

Will AI existential risk be mentioned in the white house briefing room again by May 2029?

May 23, 1:08 PMMay 31, 3:59 AM

88.26%chance

397502

OptionVotes

YES

2743

365

Will there be a coherent AI safety movement with leaders and an agenda in May 2029?

May 23, 1:18 PMMay 31, 3:59 AM

79.24%chance

554762

OptionVotes

YES

1954

512

Will the percentage of top graduates in math and CS at elite universities who aspire to AI safety work rise by May 2029?

May 23, 1:22 PMMay 31, 3:59 AM

79%chance

432588

OptionVotes

YES

1939

516

During President Trumps present term.Do you think he may have a medical episode, making him incapable to finish his term

Feb 21, 7:58 AMJan 7, 4:59 AM

38.67%chance

181762

OptionVotes

YES

1259

794

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May 31st 2027? [Polymarket]

Aug 31, 2:30 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

39.63%chance

131652

OptionVotes

YES

1234

810

If I switch majors from Finance to Applied Mathematics, will I regret it in May 2027?

Feb 26, 7:46 AMMay 26, 6:04 AM

25.22%chance

151255

OptionVotes

YES

1722

581

Will an English encyclopedia exceeding 15 billion words be created before May 2028?

May 23, 10:15 PMMay 1, 7:00 AM

24.54%chance

24710

OptionVotes

YES

1312

868

Will a international AI watchdog body enter into force by May 30, 2027?

Jun 15, 1:27 PMMay 31, 4:00 AM

64.02%chance

20691

OptionVotes

YES

1093

775

Will Magnus Carlsen have two children by May 2030?

Mar 21, 10:47 PMJan 6, 6:59 AM

57.32%chance

16520

OptionVotes

YES

1368

557

If Scott Alexander ask ACXers in 2030 whether any of them have had a good friend for more than a month who turned out to (unknown to them) be a chatbot, or who they strongly suspect may have been a chatbot, will fewer than 10% will say yes?

Feb 3, 4:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

70.99%chance

11473

OptionVotes

YES

1025

893

Latest stories

Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Germany
War
Politics
NYT: Russian Drones Track U.S. Arms Routes in Germany; Kremlin Denies
Authors
12
1 year ago
Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
Mexico
Crime
Culture
Mexico City Detains 13, Including Three Directly Involved, in May Killings of Mayor Brugada’s Collaborators Amid CJNG Arms Arrests
Authors
17
1 year ago

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May News

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All Millennium Prize Problems solved before May 2027?

Eliezer Yudkowsky is impressed by a machine learning model, and believes that the model may be very helpful for alignment research, by the end of 2026

Will AI existential risk be mentioned in the white house briefing room again by May 2029?

Will there be a coherent AI safety movement with leaders and an agenda in May 2029?

Will the percentage of top graduates in math and CS at elite universities who aspire to AI safety work rise by May 2029?

During President Trumps present term.Do you think he may have a medical episode, making him incapable to finish his term

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May 31st 2027? [Polymarket]

If I switch majors from Finance to Applied Mathematics, will I regret it in May 2027?

Will an English encyclopedia exceeding 15 billion words be created before May 2028?

Will a international AI watchdog body enter into force by May 30, 2027?

Will Magnus Carlsen have two children by May 2030?

If Scott Alexander ask ACXers in 2030 whether any of them have had a good friend for more than a month who turned out to (unknown to them) be a chatbot, or who they strongly suspect may have been a chatbot, will fewer than 10% will say yes?

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