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Mega News

    Prediction markets for Mega

    OptionProbability

    Imane Khelif is intersex

    The Jews control at least one nation's government

    Human didnt evolve from apes

    The 1% promoted culture wars to distract from class war

    Orgies by the wealthy elite as portrayed in 'Eyes Wide Shut'.

    DHMO in the water supply

    Osama bin Laden didn't act alone

    Santa is rigged

    Ticketmaster is in cahoots with organized scalpers

    That motherfucker WAS real (Tiffany Gomas was wrong the whole time)

    The P320 pistol has a design flaw allowing it to fire without pulling the trigger

    Orgies by the fucked-up poors as portrayed in "Eyes Wide Shut XXX" (2013)

    √-1 isn't real

    Atrazine works as an endocrine-disrupting chemical (EDC), converting testosterone to estrogen in the bodies of frogs leading to homosexual proclivities.

    Smartphones listen in on private conversations

    US security services use the Google Play Store as an attack vector for android devices

    Smart devices are almost always listening to your private conversations

    Lionel Messi never played for a Real football (soccer) team

    Groundhog Day is rigged

    That stock trading AI supposedly built by @SteveSokolowski is actually part of an elaborate scam

    The NBA rigs the draft lottery

    Dream faked the Manhunt videos

    Dead Internet theory

    John McAfee didn't kill himself

    Jeffrey Epstein didn't kill himself

    Some answers in this market are psyops to discredit all the others

    Joe/Hunter Biden took bribe to protect Burisma from investigation

    The UK security services are complicit in the coverup of a significant underage sex scandal closely linked to the monarchy, taking place in the UK in the period 1975-2015

    At least one UN recognised country is secretly controlled by a cabal following a religion shared by <5% of the country's population

    Covid 19 was made in a labradoodle

    The CCP is directly supporting drug cartel activity in the West

    Annie Altman's abuse claims

    Tiffany Gomas is not the same person as the TMINR lady in the video. She is a PSYOP for Barstool.

    Members of US government had prior knowledge of 9/11 and let it happen

    An adversary is intentionally causing hysteria over drone incidents to force the US/UK's hand into revealing their anti-drone tech

    The CIA killed JFK

    @strutheo is @notrickspringfield

    The New Zealand government had advance knowledge of the sinking of the Rainbow Warrior

    There are devices which have been used to alter the electric network frequency of a country in the Middle East to leave more identifiable traces in recorded video and audio clips

    Eating your veggies is bad for your health

    The CCP has a plan to exterminate a large number of people they consider to not be ethnically Chinese

    At least 3 of the members elected to the French lower house of Parliament in 2024 are Russian agents

    Covid was a deliberate test of pandemic preparedness in view of bacteriological war between China and the US

    The Obamas have a loveless marriage, kept together for optics only

    Bielefeld does not exist, but another city with the same name in the same place does

    This one makes me feel evil, so I ROT13'd it, use ROT13 to decode if you want to keep me company in Hell: Ybh Truevt'f ergverzrag jnf npghnyyl na ZYO-znaqngrq fhfcrafvba

    Gamergate was right

    The US/UK/French security services are sinking Russian ships in response to attacks on undersea cables and other hybrid warfare activities (since 2022)

    Deepwater Horizon explosion due to sabotage

    Rory Stewart worked for MI6

    The US, UK and French security services have collectively assassinated at least 10 German citizens in Germany since 2022

    China made covid 19 in a lab

    Michael Jordan's first NBA retirement was actually a forced suspension.

    FDR deliberately left Pearl Harbor vulnerable, in order to goad Americans into war

    Princess Diana was assassinated

    As of June 2025, JD Vance is secretly making plans to use future ASI to sieze power and become eternal world dictator

    Shakespeare didn’t write his own plays

    Germany has a well-prepared plan (in 2024-) to start mass producing nuclear weapons in <6 months (in case things go bad geopolitically)

    Youssoufa Moukoko (soccer player) was born earlier than he claims (earlier than 2004)

    The U.S. military is the number one customer of Glitterex (a glitter company) but doesn't want anyone to know because it hurts their masculine image.

    The Romance languages are not descended from Classical Latin

    A pharma company has a much better treatment for cancer that they are keeping secret because it would compete with their existing products

    Hellenistic science advanced meta-thermodynamics to derive 𝑄 = 𝑛𝐶Δ𝑇(1 + 𝐻⊙⋆) using the Holtzman Generator

    Bitcoin was created by a US three letter agency

    My dog went to live on farm that was full of other dogs that he could run with and play with and he was much happier than staying with us and peeing on the rug.

    lɐǝɹ ʇ,usᴉ ɐᴉlɐɹʇsn∀

    The American govt is actually a totalitarian dictatorship

    Eliezer wrote The Erogamer

    Many vaccines on the standard CDC childhood immunization schedule have serious negative side effects (net negative on health) for at least 5% of the population.

    Hellenistic scientists could derive the correct refraction law by minimizing light travel time

    Dominic Cummings was/is a Russian spy

    Elon Musk used Starlink to rig the 2024 election

    Trump committed sex offenses against minors on Epstein Island

    Circa 1920 civilizational collapse (c.f. "Whither Tartaria?")

    Marilyn Manson had a rib removed in the late 1990s

    Non-human intelligence affecting events on Earth is not extraterrestrial "aliens," and humans are incorrect in believing that reality consists only of the Universe.

    Lee Harvey Oswald didn't act alone.

    Hellenistic science developed statistical mechanics to the point of being able to derive PV=nRT

    The Hellenistic civilization was aware of the existence of Azeroth

    Sue Gray was a spy

    Harold Holt murdered

    Finno-Korean Hyperwar was real

    A cure for cancer has already been found

    The Clintons assasinated their rivals

    Ogopogo and the Yeti faked their relationship (to boost CFL ratings, to increase Taylor Swift's movie sales, support Trudeau's reelection, b/c Ogopogo is PSY, etc.)

    Aluminum cookware actually *does* cause Alzheimers.

    The 1% promoted class war to distract from culture wars

    The Hawk Tuah meme is a North Korean psyop

    The hellenistic civilization was aware of the existence of the American continent

    The pharma industry has a better version of Viagra that they keep secret to keep their profits up

    "Geoterrorism" (weather modification for terrorism) is real as of 2024

    Israel killed JFK

    US security services asked Microsoft to buy Skype and alter the software so they could target users more easily

    Biden and/or US govt did Jan 6 (exclude trump)

    The NBA rigged Shaq's free throws

    Jet fuel *can* melt steel beams, but the official 9/11 narrative is sus because chemtrail chemicals cannot

    The NFL is rigged

    South Korea has had nuclear weapons since 2023

    Xi Jinping had advance knowledge of the Hawk Tuah meme

    Mossad uses Hellenistic technology borrowed from the North Sentinelese

    Hellenistic scientists could derive the correct warp-induced refraction law by exceeding Warp Factor 9 under Cochrane’s Theorem

    Ogopogo is real

    A support network of close friendships is bad for your health

    COVID-19 vaccine is net negative for health

    Shakespeare is not real - they claim he was married to Anne Hathaway but she's like only 40 or so

    Exercise is bad for your health

    Skin cancer is caused by a lack of melanin, regardless of sunlight exposure

    covid-19 vaccine is net negative for health for people who are under 35, with no aggravating condition, and not obese

    Bitcoin was created by a 3 letter Hellenistic agency

    Bush did 9/11

    QAnon

    Allen Iverson invented A.I.

    The government iodizes the water and fluoridates salt when it should be the other way around

    QR codes are satanic

    Mossad releases video and audio clips, intended to be of interest to their adversaries, which play special sounds that humans don't notice

    China purposely spread covid 19 having intended it to escape the lab

    Charles Manson had a rib removed in the late 1990s

    Getting 8 hours of sleep is bad for your health

    Tom Brady's retirement was actually an NFL mandated suspension

    Hitler killed himself because the alternative was going to Argentina

    Jerry Sandusky is innocent.

    Skin cancer is caused by sunblock, not sunlight

    Hellenistic science knew of quantum mechanics

    Lee Harvey Oswald was an agent of the Hellenistic Civilization

    South Sudan has had nukes since 2023

    Famous Israeli agent Eisseberg was behind the sinking of the Titanic

    xkcd 690: on 9/11, one of the towers was hit by a plane and the other was a controlled demolition

    Airplane trails have toxic chemicals (chemtrails)

    @HenriThunberg was paid to create the James Bond market to promote the upcoming movie

    Marilyn Monroe had a rib removed in the late 1990s

    Rationalussy isn't real.

    Chinese people really *are* just saying the n-word.

    Tupac is still alive in 2024

    Bielefeld does not exist

    Walt Disney was cryogenically frozen, and they made the movie Frozen so that when people googled 'Walt Disney Frozen' the movie would come up first

    The Hellenistic Civilization made COVID-19 in a lab

    The North Sentinelese have a non-secret aircraft carrier, they have announced it to the world loud and clear. Problem is: nobody speaks their language.

    US government is harboring aliens

    Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce faked their relationship (to boost NFL ratings, to increase Tay's movie sales, legitimize mRNA vaccines, b/c she is a PSYOP, etc.)

    Monica Lewinsky was a Mossad agent

    Birds aren't real

    China was not genociding Uyghurs

    Effective Altruism is a scam and they just embezzle all the donations

    Tiger Woods is a militant separatist Tamil

    The Mandella Effect in general is real

    The North Sentinelese have a secret aircraft carrier

    Hurricane Katrina caused by HAARP

    The 2020 US presidential election was rigged/stolen

    The CIA killed Tupac, and JFK is still alive as of 2024

    carbon dioxide isn't the main cause of global warming

    You personally live in Truman Show style captivity

    The Romance languages are not descended from Latin

    The illuminati runs the world

    *All* health care is net negative for health

    The moon landing was fake

    climate change isn't human caused

    Michelle Obama is a man

    Jeffrey Epstein is still alive

    Brazilian money is not real

    The Hellenistic civilization invented USB

    The North Sentinelese are remnants of the Hellenistic civilization

    Yeti is real or similar creature

    The earth is a dodecahedron

    Climate change isn’t real

    Skibidi Toilet is real

    Q is Putin

    It used to be spelled Berenstein Bears

    Africa isn't real

    Christiano Ronaldo never played for a Real football (soccer) team

    There is no female orgasm

    The North Sentinelese are concealing super-advanced technology.

    The earth is flat

    Hitler didn't kill himself he went to Argentina

    *All* vaccines are net negative for health

    End of the world in 2012

    Earth is hollow

    Justin Trudeau is actually Black and has been wearing "whiteface" all along.

    Finland isn't real

    Australia isn't real.

    5G will kill all vaccinated people once the towers are switched on

    Nuclear weapons have never existed

    Flossing is bad for your health

    Brushing your teeth is bad for your health

    HIV doesn’t cause AIDS

    Taylor Swift and Mary Berg are the same person

    The Epcot sphere was built by aliens as some sort of energy device powering the rat empire.

    Nauru has had a working fusion reactor since 2001

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    OptionProbability

    Bond will be a man

    Gunplay

    Bond drives a car

    On screen fatalities

    London will appear on screen

    Urban scene

    Bond wears a suit/tuxedo

    Car chase scene

    Female and/or BIPOC director and/or producer

    Bond tells ≥1 joke

    A vessel is shown on screen containing any of the following: ketchup, mustard, wasabi, soy sauce, hot sauce, beer, wine, whiskey, cologne, or sulfuric acid.

    A named character speaks in a language other than English

    Bond introduces himself as "Bond, James Bond"

    Bond drinks a martini

    Opening action sequence

    The Tower of London, Big Ben, Buckingham Palace, Wembley, or Heathrow appears on screen.

    Gun Barrel Sequence

    Bond will attend a gala, soirée, ball, banquet, masquerade, black-tie event, cocktail party, fundraiser, awards ceremony, premiere, reception, or a charity auction.

    Sex scene

    World capital other than London appears on screen

    Hacking electronics of some form

    Q appears

    Runtime of at least 2 hours/120 minutes.

    Bond solves ≥ 1 problem non-violently

    Bond uses explosives

    The plot will be predominantly set in present day

    Bond disarms someone with a melee weapon using martial arts

    The main theme song will be sung by a female

    The film features a scene at a UNESCO World Heritage Site.

    Fatal-if-missed aerial jump

    A Bird (Avian) Will Appear Onscreen for >2 Seconds

    Bond will shoot an inanimate object on purpose.

    Asia will appear on screen

    Someone goes through a pane of glass

    A named character is a double (or triple, etc.) agent

    It will feature ≥1 actor that was part of No Time to Die

    It will gross more worldwide than No Time to Die ($774M)

    The villain will use or work in the field of artificial intelligence.

    "King" or "Queen" of England mentioned

    Bond is on vacation (is shown somewhere for enjoyment, without purpose for his mission)

    Someone in the movie says the title

    @HenriThunberg enjoys the film

    The villain is played by an actor who had a lead or recurring role on a prestigious television series that aired on either AMC or HBO.

    South America, Africa, or Australia will appear on screen

    The words "James Bond will return" appear on screen during or after the credits.

    Bond rides a motorcycle

    A single large explosion occurs on screen at the same time as Bond, and he doesn't look at it

    >=85 on Tomatometer 1 month after US release

    Critics will say it's a return to classic bond

    A sniper rifle is fired

    At least a portion filmed in Canada

    Blue-eyed Bond

    There will be a scene with wagering, gambling or betting

    Bond wields a Walther PPK

    Interracial sex scene

    Pegasus, Phoenix, Griffin, Unicorn, Kraken, Minotaur, Medusa, Cyclops, Sphinx, Kitsune, Chimera, or Thunderbird (any visual representation)

    Jungle / forest scene

    M will be played by Ralph Fiennes

    Bond flys an aircraft

    James Bond disobeys orders from MI6 or the British government

    Bond attends a soccer match, cricket game, rugby match, boxing/MMA fight, tennis match, e-sport event, the Olympics, a carnival or fair, the opera, or a horse race.

    Bond parachutes

    It passes the Bechdel test (two named women talk the each other about anything besides a man)

    Bond wears shorts

    Bond pays for something by leaving money on a table and walking off without the recipient of the money present

    >=7.5 on IMDB 1 month after US release

    Arctic scene

    Someone uses a euphemism to order a killing

    Bond gets slapped

    Prison/jail scene

    A jet ski or snowmobile gets airborne

    Black market trafficking

    Someone climbs around on the outside of a building

    Released in 2028

    The main character will order a “Vodka Martini, shaken, not stirred” using that exact phrase.

    Bond licks something

    Bond and a pond shown on screen together

    Main villain has a visible physical defect (scar, handicap, missing limb, ...)

    someone combs or brushes their hair (or the hair of another person)

    Bond in bondage (not necessarily sexual)

    Bond slaps someone

    A scene shows James Bond naked

    Actor who plays Bond at least 6' (183 cm) tall

    Death of a Bond love interest

    James Bond talks to a woman while playing a card game.

    A Gulf kingdom will appear on screen (e.g. Dubai)

    Bond puts something phallic-shaped in his mouth

    Bond is violent toward a woman (e.g. painful pulling, slap, throat grip...)

    There will be a voiced character that is an AI

    Bond rides a bicycle

    Torture

    Bond receives a gunshot wound

    A visible countdown clock, which if it reaches zero something bad happens

    Wilhelm scream

    The title will refer to life and/or death

    @brunoparga correctly guesses a pun beforehand

    Bond plays craps, roulette, or blackjack

    Bond drives a boat

    A safe is cracked (any means possible)

    Someone is shot with a tranquilizer dart or other nonlethal incapacitating projectile (getting wounded with a potentially lethal weapon doesn't count)

    James Bond plays poker

    Bond commits arson

    Cryptocurrency is referenced

    Oral sex

    Bond smokes a cigarette/cigar

    Tom Hardy, Cillian Murphy, or Zendaya appear on screen

    Martini and a bikini shown on screen at the same time

    Terrorists

    US premier date is moved forward at least once (has to be numbered date, "summer 2026" doesn't count)

    Someone carries a gun disassembled in a nondescript case

    Someone speaks a verbal password phrase to verify their identity, gain access to a location, etc.

    Actor who plays Bond is a US citizen

    A pandemic or biological warfare will be a central plot

    Desert scene

    Nazis (neo- counts)

    The ending pitches a next movie (continued story, introduction of villain, venegance, ...)

    Ski chase scene

    Drug use

    Someone/something is x-rayed

    Thunderstorm

    Dessert scene

    An actor who previous played a Bond villain appears (as either a new or recurring character)

    President of the United States is mentioned

    IF the main villain has a pet that plays a significant role in the plot, this pet is a horse...

    Robots

    Bond complains about the quality of an alcoholic beverage

    Bond throws food, darts, or a Molotov cocktail

    It refers to the transition between two British monarchs (Elizabeth, Charles and/or others)

    Bond has facial hair

    Bond will have a hot, young, American sidekick

    There will be a promotional event in Fortnite

    Moscow, Kyiv, or Paris shown on screen

    Bond wears a mask

    Cocaine or caviar appears on screen

    James Bond plays baccarat

    Scene with Bond wearing a hat and sunglasses

    Theme song is performed by Taylor Swift

    Bond plays golf, tennis, or croquet

    Bond will be in a submarine

    Bond goes to space

    Bond is LQBTQ+

    Bond rides an animal

    James games (Bond plays any video game, table top board game, or role-playing game) *chess counts, casino games don't

    Rolex, Aston Martin, Bollinger Champaign product placements (all three)

    Main villain speaks Russian on screen

    Bond has a disability

    Bond claims to have retired / quit from the world of espionage

    Theme song will be performed by a band (more than one artist. Duran Duran did it, so there is precedent.)

    Mexico is shown on screen

    Jetpack

    The movie will be set during the Cold War (1947-1991)

    A previous Bond actor appears (as either a new or recurring character)

    Revealed that "James Bond" has always been a code name.

    Trans character - explicity stated they are trans, no ambiguity (must be on screen for min. 7 seconds and say at least 3 words)

    An EMP device plays a central role.

    Climate change/global warming is explicitly mentioned

    At least one named character below 18 years old

    Features a shot with someone lowering a newspaper, magazine or book, revealing they had been surreptitiously spying on someone

    Canada is shown on screen

    Sharks

    Orgy

    fight featuring at least one of: viper, mongoose, someone with one of those as their code name

    Will feature something that can turn invisible

    A pinball machine will appear.

    Someone asks for payment in "small, unmarked bills" or "negotiable bearer bonds" (wording need not be exact)

    Underwater combat

    The word "fuck" is said more than once.

    With all this speculation about which kinds of sex acts will be shown, I'm surprised nobody has said it yet, so I'll say it: 𝕓𝕠𝕟𝕕𝕒𝕘𝕖

    Bond beds a "lady of the night" (ie. He fucks a prostitute)

    The main villain has a pet that plays a significant role in the plot.

    Bond is blond

    Pirates

    Assplay

    Emilia Clarke portrays a character

    Bond won't be Caucasian

    A hamburger appears on screen

    Bond uses a VR headset

    Bond has a neck tattoo

    Nuclear explosion

    Someone uses the word "clip" to refer to a magazine

    Satanism

    Aaron Taylor-Johnson plays Bond

    Bond plays Russian roulette

    It will be described as featuring AI, such as claims that is uses “AI actors”, as reported by entertainment media.

    Gay sex scene

    ChatGPT is referenced by any character

    Party and play (PnP), also known as chemsex, scene

    Bond has a mustache (no other facial hair)

    A character has the codename "Fat Rascal"

    Theme song is performed by The Weeknd

    San Francisco is shown on screen

    Pegging

    Another character coincidentally has the first name "James" or surname "Bond" (or both)

    Horse cock on screen (flaccid)

    Bond consumes more than 1.5 loads of jizz

    A clocks shows the time 4:20

    Feature Nightcore music

    Supernatural entities

    Prediction markets, origami, or the word "manifold" appear in the movie.

    There will be a character codenamed "Fat Rascal" and they will be played by an American

    Bond uses chopsticks

    Released in 2026

    Desert dessert scene (e.g. eating an ice cream in the Sahara)

    Any character says the word "anime"

    Vampires

    Bond vapes

    The main character will order a “café mocha, double double” using that exact phrase.

    Bond dies

    The fourth wall is broken

    Scat play

    Bond does depraved sexual acts for money (e.g., bukakke, public gang bangs, period play, etc.)

    Contains a joke or indirect reference to the "last night I Bond Burgered your sister" meme

    Horse cock on screen (erect)

    Bond will say the line about snakes on a plane, but only as a metaphor (with snakes representing penises and the plane being his ass).

    The handkerchief code is a major plot element

    James Bond will say, "I'm rational, rationalussy."

    Bond is vegan

    It will be directed by a woman

    Bond plays League of Legends

    Destiny appears on screen

    Bond says, “Enough is enough! I have had it with these motherfucking snakes on this motherfucking plane!”

    Dragons

    Dinosaurs

    It will be directed by Christopher Nolan

    Bond hits the griddy

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    Chinese invasion of Taiwan mega market (30k subsidy)

    Mar 9, 1:16 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM
    5348084

    OptionProbability

    China sanctioned by US + Europe

    CCP in power in 2050 [IF DON'T INVADE]

    Oil shortages in South Korea or Japan

    CCP in power in 2050 [IF INVADE]

    Taiwan blockaded before invasion

    Japan allows use of airbases

    US military intervention

    Malacca Strait blockaded

    Chinese mainland bombed

    Taiwan surrenders

    Chinese warships sunk by US submarine

    Japanese military intervention

    Malacca Strait blockaded > 1 month

    Chinese warships sunk by US airforce

    China attacks Japan

    Food shortages in China

    Oil shortages in China

    Philippines attacked by Chinese

    Guam attacked by Chinese

    Philippines allows use of airbases

    South Korea allows use of airbases

    Malacca Strait blockaded > 12 months

    Peaceful unification by 2050 [IF DON'T INVADE]

    European military intervention

    Japan attacked by Chinese

    South Korean military intervention

    China attacks South Korea

    Indian military intervention

    US combat troops in Taiwan

    US aircraft carrier sunk

    US destroys TSMC factories

    Tactical nuclear weapon used

    Nuclear weapon used against civilians

    75

    70

    68

    61

    56

    56

    55

    54

    54

    48

    48

    48

    47

    47

    45

    44

    43

    42

    41

    40

    39

    38

    37

    36

    33

    33

    33

    31

    28

    24

    19

    12

    10

    Will we (Mega Crit) regret making our next game in Godot?

    Oct 10, 8:23 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
    9.24%chance
    887023

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    2254

    875

    OptionProbability

    [American] Health Care

    Donald Trump (incl. his trials)

    J.D. Vance

    The 2024 Election

    Supreme Court (or its Justices)

    Israel [incl. War in Gaza]

    Gun Control

    Russia [incl. War in Ukraine]

    Abortion access

    Joe Biden

    Cost of Housing / Mortgage Rates

    Weight loss drugs (Ozempic, Wegovy…etc)

    Infrastructure

    Mark Zuckerberg (incl. Meta / Facebook / IG…etc.)

    Sports gambling

    Summer Olympics

    Big Tech

    Processed Food (incl. Nutrition Labels)

    The UK

    Taylor Swift

    Worker Unions and/or Co-ops

    Antitrust Law

    The Effective Altruism and/or Rationality movements

    Japan

    The British Royal Family (incl. King Charles, Prince Andrew)

    FIFA

    North Korea

    Winter Olympics

    Post office

    Stagnating Wages of the Average Worker

    100

    99

    91

    88

    82

    80

    77

    77

    76

    74

    73

    71

    67

    63

    61

    59

    59

    59

    52

    52

    52

    50

    50

    48

    44

    43

    41

    41

    39

    27

    OptionProbability

    Patrick Lefevere will leave his position as cycling manager.

    A SQS rider will win the Olympics Road Cycling Race 2024.

    Remco Evenepoel will leave

    SQS will win at least one Tour de France stage each year (from 2024).

    Soudal will leave as title sponsor.

    Quick-Step will leave as title sponsor.

    Specialized will leave as bike sponsor.

    NEOM will enter as a title sponsor.

    A SQS rider will win at least one World Championships Road Cycling Race.

    SQS will merge with another team.

    SQS will win a Tour de France GC.

    SQS will win at least one Grand Tour GC (from 2024).

    SQS will win at least one monument each year (from 2024).

    100

    100

    99

    74

    63

    51

    51

    36

    32

    29

    8

    0

    0

    (Week 3) NFL 2025 Mega-Market: All Games / TV Guide

    May 16, 1:07 AMSep 23, 1:05 AM
    162545

    OptionProbability

    Cincinnati Bengals beat Minnesota Vikings (09/21) 1:00 PM (CBS)

    Kansas City Chiefs beat New York Jets (09/21) 8:20 PM (NBC)

    Green Bay Packers beat Cleveland Browns (09/21) 1:00 PM (FOX)

    Indianapolis Colts beat Tennessee Titans (09/21) 1:00 PM (CBS)

    Atlanta Falcons beat Carolina Panthers (09/21) 1:00 PM (FOX)

    Houston Texans beat Jacksonville Jaguars (09/21) 1:00 PM (CBS)

    Denver Broncos beat Los Angeles Chargers (09/21) 4:05 PM (CBS)

    Dallas Cowboys beat Chicago Bears (09/21) 4:25 PM (FOX)

    Pittsburgh Steelers beat New England Patriots (09/21) 1:00 PM (CBS)

    Detroit Lions beat Baltimore Ravens (09/22) 8:15 PM (ABC/ESPN)

    Los Angeles Rams beat Philadelphia Eagles (09/21) 1:00 PM (FOX)

    Arizona Cardinals beat San Francisco 49ers (09/21) 4:25 PM (FOX)

    New York Giants beat Tampa Bay Buccaneers (09/21) 1:00 PM (FOX)

    Las Vegas Raiders beat Washington Commanders (09/21) 1:00 PM (FOX)

    Miami Dolphins beat Buffalo Bills (09/18) 8:15 PM (Prime Video)

    New Orleans Saints beat Seattle Seahawks (09/21) 4:05 PM (CBS)

    77

    77

    75

    70

    70

    70

    50

    50

    45

    45

    42

    39

    36

    34

    31

    24

    OptionProbability

    Darwin (FPV drone operator with 92nd Brigade of AFU)

    Javier Milei

    Elon Musk

    Elton John

    Kanye West

    Donald Trump

    Xi Jinping

    Vladimir Putin

    Joe Biden

    100

    13

    7

    7

    6

    4

    4

    4

    3

    (Week 2) NFL 2025 Mega-Market: All Games / TV Guide

    May 15, 1:36 AMSep 16, 1:34 AM
    132023

    OptionProbability

    San Francisco 49ers beat New Orleans Saints (09/14) 1:00 PM (FOX)

    Buffalo Bills beat New York Jets (09/14) 1:00 PM (CBS)

    Denver Broncos beat Indianapolis Colts (09/14) 4:05 PM (CBS)

    Los Angeles Rams beat Tennessee Titans (09/14) 1:00 PM (CBS)

    Los Angeles Chargers beat Las Vegas Raiders (09/15) 10:00 PM (ESPN)

    New England Patriots beat Miami Dolphins (09/14) 1:00 PM (CBS)

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat Houston Texans (09/15) 7:00 PM (ABC/ESPN)

    Seattle Seahawks beat Pittsburgh Steelers (09/14) 1:00 PM (FOX)

    Philadelphia Eagles beat Kansas City Chiefs (09/14) 4:25 PM (FOX)

    Atlanta Falcons beat Minnesota Vikings (09/14) 8:20 PM (NBC)

    Washington Commanders beat Green Bay Packers (09/11) 8:15 PM (Prime)

    New York Giants beat Dallas Cowboys (09/14) 1:00 PM (FOX)

    Jacksonville Jaguars beat Cincinnati Bengals (09/14) 1:00 PM (CBS)

    Chicago Bears beat Detroit Lions (09/14) 1:00 PM (FOX)

    Carolina Panthers beat Arizona Cardinals (09/14) 4:05 PM (CBS)

    Cleveland Browns beat Baltimore Ravens (09/14) 1:00 PM (CBS)

    75

    75

    75

    69

    66

    60

    59

    58

    57

    52

    45

    36

    33

    30

    30

    25

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1018

    966

    Beyoncé’s Act III [Mega Market]

    Apr 17, 3:20 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
    5220

    OptionProbability

    Opening week Number 1 on the Billboard 200

    Longer than 70 minutes

    One word name

    Includes a song with 1 credited artist

    Released before 2026

    Will be stylistically based on jazz, blues, and/or zydeco.

    More than 1 single released ahead of time

    Has more than 6 featured artists

    Will be an opera (or described widely as operatic)

    Includes a song with >=10 credited artists

    93

    76

    76

    66

    64

    62

    60

    59

    34

    34

    Red Bull Racing Chaos Mega Market

    Jul 9, 9:03 PMJan 1, 9:53 PM
    2110

    OptionProbability

    Jonathan Wheatley returns to RBR by 2027

    Helmut Marko leaves RBR before 2027

    Max Verstappen drives at least one race for RBR in 2026

    Christian Horner TP at another F1 team by start of 2026 season

    Laurent Mekies still RBR TP by July 9th 2026

    Christian Horner returns to RBR before 2032

    RBR wins another WDC or WCC before 2036

    53

    50

    50

    47

    42

    41

    39

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