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Top stories

Memos Show IRS Opened, Then Halted 2019 Criminal Probe of Clinton Foundation

Memos Show IRS Opened, Then Halted 2019 Criminal Probe of Clinton Foundation

Authors

10

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Memos

Will the US government declare a new holiday in memory of Charlie Kirk?

Sep 11, 5:08 PMNov 4, 6:00 PM

2.51%chance

3517614

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6230

161

OpenAI memory-using chatbot causes fatal domestic dispute by EOY2026?

Apr 17, 10:49 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

39.09%chance

225804

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1248

801

Will we discover superconductivity in biological systems as key part of memory, perception or language, before 2040?

Aug 2, 2:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.62%chance

224037

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1437

935

Will there be a Memoria.Day in 2026?

Dec 20, 12:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53193

OptionProbability

Q4

Not in 2026

Q3

Q1 or Q2

43

43

12

1

Will the Crazy Horse Memorial be completed by 2073?

Aug 19, 1:09 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

54.25%chance

13569

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1045

911

Was there ever a memo of OpenAI leadership discussing selling to the Russian government to fund AI development?

Jun 4, 6:55 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

26.71%chance

6390

OptionVotes

YES

NO

592

299

Before 2030, will a NATO soldier publish a memoir claiming they were secretly on Ukrainian soil in 2022 or 2023?

Jun 29, 6:30 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

72.11%chance

14372

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1003

984

Donald Trump claims he intends to write a memoir about second presidential term by the end of 2030?

Apr 4, 10:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.28%chance

9247

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1006

994

Will Memorang be valued at $100M or more in a publicly verifiable way by the end of 2026?

Mar 15, 3:15 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

46.95%chance

5123

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1063

941

When will we see credible evidence that Microsoft's memo about security tradeoffs was not applied?

May 8, 8:44 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

3114

OptionProbability

Before 2026-01-01

Before 2025-07-01

Before 2025-01-01

In 2026 or after

Before 2024-07-01

In 2030 or after, possibly never

75

70

69

54

48

46

Which year will the US govt publically require memory safe languages be used for govt applications

Feb 27, 8:09 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

120

OptionProbability

2030

Never

2035

Other

31

29

20

20

Will there be a band or artist named "Muscle Memories" on allmusic.com before 2030?

Sep 14, 11:06 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

45.25%chance

15

OptionVotes

YES

NO

75

65

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
Law
Politics
Business
Memos Show IRS Opened, Then Halted 2019 Criminal Probe of Clinton Foundation
Authors
10
1 year ago

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