Memos News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Memos
Will the US government declare a new holiday in memory of Charlie Kirk?
Sep 11, 5:08 PMNov 4, 6:00 PM
2.51%chance
3517614
OptionVotes
6230
161
OpenAI memory-using chatbot causes fatal domestic dispute by EOY2026?
Apr 17, 10:49 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
39.09%chance
225804
OptionVotes
1248
801
Will we discover superconductivity in biological systems as key part of memory, perception or language, before 2040?
Aug 2, 2:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
5.62%chance
224037
OptionVotes
1437
935
Joe Biden's Presidential Memoir: How many copies will be sold in the first year?
Jul 24, 2:31 AMJan 2, 3:29 AM
61472
OptionProbability
18
15
14
13
12
10
8
5
5
OptionVotes
1045
911
Was there ever a memo of OpenAI leadership discussing selling to the Russian government to fund AI development?
Jun 4, 6:55 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
26.71%chance
6390
OptionVotes
592
299
Before 2030, will a NATO soldier publish a memoir claiming they were secretly on Ukrainian soil in 2022 or 2023?
Jun 29, 6:30 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
72.11%chance
14372
OptionVotes
1003
984
When will we be able to reversibly preserve isolated primate brains at least 50 yrs with function and memories intact?
Jan 9, 8:36 PMJun 2, 6:59 AM
4300
OptionProbability
34
12
10
10
10
10
9
5
Donald Trump claims he intends to write a memoir about second presidential term by the end of 2030?
Apr 4, 10:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
50.28%chance
9247
OptionVotes
1006
994
Will Memorang be valued at $100M or more in a publicly verifiable way by the end of 2026?
Mar 15, 3:15 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
46.95%chance
5123
OptionVotes
1063
941
When will we see credible evidence that Microsoft's memo about security tradeoffs was not applied?
May 8, 8:44 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
3114
OptionProbability
75
70
69
54
48
46
OptionProbability
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50