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Top stories

Trump Weighs Unprecedented GOP Convention Before 2026 Midterms

Trump Weighs Unprecedented GOP Convention Before 2026 Midterms

Authors

41

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Midterms

How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?

Apr 2, 12:16 AMJan 4, 11:59 PM

122341356

OptionProbability

56

Other

44

45

46

47

48

49

50

51

52

53

54

55

96

3

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

[RESOLVES JANUARY 31] Will the Senate majority leader and speaker of the house both be Democrats after the 2026 midterms

Sep 26, 3:00 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

98.13%chance

3772321

OptionVotes

NO

YES

72516

1379

8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job loss [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

62.52%chance

3826421

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1294

776

Will 2026 turnout exceed 2022? (US midterms, percentage)

Jul 4, 2:35 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

94.92%chance

9921044

OptionVotes

NO

YES

14852

4360

Will Trump give American adults $5000 each if the republicans win the midterms

Sep 10, 3:23 AMNov 5, 10:59 PM

3.85%chance

4013895

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4999

200

How many House Seats will the Democrats win in the 2026 Midterms? [Add Answers]

Oct 23, 8:43 PMDec 12, 11:59 PM

147394

OptionProbability

260

259

261

262

263

254

226

258

Other

235

236

237

238

239

240

241

242

243

225

68

13

8

5

2

2

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

If Trump Wins, will the USA pass more Ukraine aid at least once before the 2026 midterm elections?

Mar 11, 3:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

86.59%chance

417176

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5009

891

Will there be a significant polling error at the 2026 US midterm elections?

Nov 19, 1:48 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

93.57%chance

275676

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5529

66

Which Representative or Senator will have the highest WAR in the 2026 Midterm US Congressional Elections?

Jan 21, 6:12 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

103566

OptionProbability

Other

Bobby Pulido (D- TX15)

Susan Collins (R|ME-SEN)

Adam Hamilton (D- KS Sen)

Henry Cuellar (D|TX-26)

Jack Reed (D|CT-SEN)

Brian Fitzpatrick (R|PA-01)

Mary Peltola (D|AK-SEN)

Dusty Johnson (R|SD-AL)

Kristen McDonald Rivet (D|MI-08)

Grace Meng (D|NY-6)

45

35

6

6

4

1

1

1

0

0

0

Will the US enter a depression if the Democrats win the midterms?

Oct 13, 4:45 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.47%chance

42428

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3383

847

Will any ballot boxes or mail in ballots be confiscated in the 2026 midterms?

Sep 26, 1:46 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

44.05%chance

141025

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1127

887

Will the GOP face a serious third party competition by midterms 2030?

Mar 13, 10:46 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

49.43%chance

7213

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1011

989

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
US Elections
Politics
Trump Weighs Unprecedented GOP Convention Before 2026 Midterms
Authors
41
1 year ago

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