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Top stories

Trump Weighs Unprecedented GOP Convention Before 2026 Midterms

Trump Weighs Unprecedented GOP Convention Before 2026 Midterms

Authors

41

11 months ago

Prediction markets for Midterms

Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?

Jun 8, 6:16 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

10.9%chance

519444891

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13153

9447

If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?

Mar 10, 5:16 AMNov 4, 4:59 AM

9.78%chance

602338438

OptionVotes

YES

NO

18317

4420

What party will hold the House of Representatives after the 2026 midterms

Dec 12, 2:00 PMNov 15, 4:59 AM

183295392

OptionProbability

Democrats

Republicans

88

12

Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?

Nov 7, 6:10 PMDec 1, 8:59 PM

44%chance

295214988

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1129

887

If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?

Mar 10, 5:12 AMNov 3, 7:59 AM

26.56%chance

210115067

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8187

5998

Who controls Congress after the 2026 Midterms?

Jul 21, 11:47 PMNov 4, 7:59 AM

15182781

OptionProbability

Democrats Sweep

R Senate, D House

Republicans Sweep

D Senate, R House

Other

43

42

14

1

0

U.S. federal government announces delay or suspension of 2026 midterm elections before November 3, 2026

Feb 4, 2:18 AMNov 2, 12:00 AM

5.31%chance

4528210

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12163

3857

How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?

Apr 2, 12:16 AMJan 4, 11:59 PM

4227732

OptionProbability

50

51

52

49

48

Other

47

53

46

54

44

45

18

17

13

12

10

7

6

6

4

4

3

3

Who will control the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterms?

Jan 7, 4:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

639778

OptionProbability

Republicans

Democrats

Independents

55

45

0

Will 2026 turnout exceed 2022? (US midterms, percentage)

Jul 4, 2:35 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

83.76%chance

796443

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5318

5001

Will Trump claim election fraud in the 2026 midterms?

Jul 4, 5:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

90.27%chance

324470

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3049

328

If Trump Wins, will the USA pass more Ukraine aid at least once before the 2026 midterm elections?

Mar 11, 3:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.76%chance

373577

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2678

1415

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
US Elections
Politics
Trump Weighs Unprecedented GOP Convention Before 2026 Midterms
Authors
41
11 months ago

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