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Top stories

Trump Weighs Unprecedented GOP Convention Before 2026 Midterms

Trump Weighs Unprecedented GOP Convention Before 2026 Midterms

Authors

41

7 months ago

Prediction markets for Midterms

Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?

Jun 8, 6:16 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

10.77%chance

361294240

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2464

675

If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?

Mar 10, 5:16 AMNov 4, 4:59 AM

22.37%chance

553262179

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9333

5985

What party will hold the House of Representatives after the 2026 midterms

Dec 12, 2:00 PMNov 15, 4:59 AM

156234949

OptionProbability

Democrats

Republicans

88

12

Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?

Nov 7, 6:10 PMDec 1, 8:59 PM

48.02%chance

211146579

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1041

962

If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?

Mar 10, 5:12 AMNov 3, 7:59 AM

42.31%chance

16592022

OptionVotes

NO

YES

7577

5100

Who controls Congress after the 2026 Midterms?

Jul 21, 11:47 PMNov 4, 7:59 AM

7745507

OptionProbability

Democrats Sweep

R Senate, D House

Republicans Sweep

D Senate, R House

Other

48

40

11

0

0

How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?

Apr 2, 12:16 AMJan 4, 11:59 PM

3514969

OptionProbability

51

Other

50

49

52

48

47

45

46

44

19

18

16

15

13

7

5

3

3

2

If the Texas GOP succeeds in redistricting, will they gain seats in the midterms?

Jul 21, 11:15 AMNov 8, 12:14 PM

84.47%chance

288564

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2332

429

Will Trump claim election fraud in the 2026 midterms?

Jul 4, 5:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

86.35%chance

223014

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2517

398

How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?

Feb 26, 8:03 PMNov 4, 12:00 AM

132801

OptionProbability

At least 44

At least 45

At least 46

At least 47

At least 48

At least 49

At least 50

At least 51

At least 52

At least 53

99

98

94

90

84

72

68

45

23

15

If Trump Wins, will the USA pass more Ukraine aid at least once before the 2026 midterm elections?

Mar 11, 3:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

55.97%chance

312765

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2101

1898

Will the Democrats Outperform their 2018 Midterm Results? [Win more than 235 seats in 2026]

Mar 14, 5:51 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

58.31%chance

11737

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1183

846

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
US Elections
Politics
Trump Weighs Unprecedented GOP Convention Before 2026 Midterms
Authors
41
7 months ago

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