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Prediction markets for Money in the Bank
Zeihan - "China's population will be below 700M by the end of the decade"
Nov 2, 9:28 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
8.33%chance
209797
OptionVotes
1466
900
Will projects which recently received grants via FTX Foundation, Inc. (i.e., the non-profit entity associated with the Future Fund) receive a demand to give the money back (e.g., to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?
Nov 14, 3:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
63.61%chance
745724
OptionVotes
2141
900
OptionVotes
1117
894
Will cryptocurrencies replace fiat money before 2040?
Apr 21, 7:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
20.93%chance
102438
OptionVotes
1944
515
Will the recipients of naming rights money for the FTX Arena receive a demand to give their money back (e.g. to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?
Dec 19, 12:36 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM
76%chance
91954
OptionVotes
200
172
Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?
Nov 15, 1:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
18.46%chance
191770
OptionVotes
2102
476
When will a bank offering voice authentication remove this option due to deepfake risk?
Apr 24, 12:17 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
101360
OptionProbability
53
33
7
4
3
Will the UK NHS (National Health Service) be free at the point of use by 2030
Jan 4, 11:32 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
93.82%chance
10898
OptionVotes
568
100
Will advanced AI systems be found to have made money illegally via finding security exploits and/or getting unauthorized access to others' bank accounts by end of 2035?
Jan 14, 12:54 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
78.3%chance
15188
OptionVotes
1119
950
When will a cyberattack cause a major U.S. bank or brokerage to lose its records of customer assets?
Aug 11, 1:50 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
7159
OptionProbability
58
57
56
55
55
50
47
Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2100?
Jun 10, 1:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
66.86%chance
7136
OptionVotes
142
70
What bad things will happen in Russia after elections? [prop bets]
Sep 17, 3:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
122
OptionProbability
50
50
50
34
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