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Will Elon Musk be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?
Mar 23, 7:19 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
50.3%chance
472128590
OptionVotes
11108
10626
Did Elon Musk control the SATANZ0Gpo tripcode, used in 4chan's /pol/ board?
Apr 16, 2:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
4.64%chance
6375627
OptionVotes
45332
2206
OptionVotes
16793
9923
Will the first uncrewed Starship to Mars launch within 2 years as Elon Musk says?
Sep 8, 6:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
1.65%chance
10539005
OptionVotes
18052
920
Will Elon Musk put a Neuralink chip in his brain before 2030?
Jan 30, 9:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
20.25%chance
26933697
OptionVotes
3470
1943
Will Elon Musk get more than half of his 2018 $55 billion Tesla pay package
Jan 31, 4:19 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
99.2%chance
6832494
OptionVotes
15471
277
Will Elon Musk get a chip implanted in his brain before he passes away?
Jan 30, 7:05 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
36.58%chance
12319399
OptionVotes
14979
7700
Will the first crewed Starship to Mars launch within 4 years as Elon Musk says?
Sep 8, 6:55 PMMar 1, 4:59 AM
2.17%chance
3517355
OptionVotes
7670
470
OptionProbability
1122
904
OptionProbability
83
4
4
3
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world at the end of 2030?
Jan 4, 11:19 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
55.7%chance
617158
OptionVotes
1296
556
OptionVotes
2397
1846
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