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Will Elon Musk be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?
Mar 23, 7:19 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
52.31%chance
474129046
OptionVotes
11076
10681
Did Elon Musk control the SATANZ0Gpo tripcode, used in 4chan's /pol/ board?
Apr 16, 2:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
4.63%chance
6476090
OptionVotes
45370
2204
OptionVotes
16652
9942
Will the first uncrewed Starship to Mars launch within 2 years as Elon Musk says?
Sep 8, 6:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
1.65%chance
10539006
OptionVotes
18122
919
Will Elon Musk put a Neuralink chip in his brain before 2030?
Jan 30, 9:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
17.74%chance
27134163
OptionVotes
3884
1846
Will Elon Musk get more than half of his 2018 $55 billion Tesla pay package
Jan 31, 4:19 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
99.2%chance
6832531
OptionVotes
15434
277
Will Elon Musk get a chip implanted in his brain before he passes away?
Jan 30, 7:05 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
38.87%chance
12420076
OptionVotes
14305
8109
Will the first crewed Starship to Mars launch within 4 years as Elon Musk says?
Sep 8, 6:55 PMMar 1, 4:59 AM
2.17%chance
3517355
OptionVotes
7670
470
Elon Musk actually gifts a SpaceX share to every American child in 2027?
Oct 19, 8:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
30.32%chance
12415970
OptionVotes
3034
1317
OptionProbability
1122
904
OptionProbability
83
4
4
3
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world at the end of 2030?
Jan 4, 11:19 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
58.62%chance
647263
OptionVotes
1351
515
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