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Top stories

Lionsgate and Fathom Bring ‘Twilight’ Saga Back to Theaters for 20th Anniversary

Lionsgate and Fathom Bring ‘Twilight’ Saga Back to Theaters for 20th Anniversary

Authors

4

8 months ago

Prediction markets for New Moon

Will a human astronaut land on the moon before 2027 ?

Dec 29, 1:07 PMDec 31, 1:00 PM

1%chance

11242189

OptionVotes

YES

NO

22397

447

Who will win the new race to the Moon?

Aug 12, 1:04 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

8014927

OptionProbability

USA

China

Russia

India

Europe

Other

58

42

0

0

0

0

Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship?

Feb 12, 11:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

92.45%chance

288754

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3502

286

Manned mission to a near earth asteroid before landing on the Moon?

Apr 24, 2:18 PMOct 17, 9:59 PM

5.13%chance

343139

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3203

713

Will NASA award a contract to a new commercial partner to develop a spacesuit by mid 2026?

Jun 25, 9:32 PMJun 1, 1:59 PM

58.3%chance

121761

OptionVotes

NO

YES

124

89

Will a good or service be sold on the moon by 2050?

Apr 8, 7:58 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

50.67%chance

361367

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1062

916

Will Tsukihime -The other side of red garden- be available in English on its initial release?

Feb 14, 1:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.16%chance

4649

OptionVotes

YES

NO

139

26

How many Apollo moonwalkers will be alive when the next moonwalker returns to Earth?

Feb 1, 2:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15605

OptionProbability

1

0

2

3

4

40

29

22

7

2

Will significant prosecutorial reform be enacted in South Korea by 2028?

Dec 13, 12:20 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

65.24%chance

3390

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1370

730

Tennis-like sport played on another planet or in space by end 2036

Oct 8, 6:25 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

45.15%chance

13328

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1031

945

What year will Japan's pressurized rover land on the Moon?

Apr 14, 8:41 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

5155

OptionProbability

2033-2034

2032-2033

2031-2032

2034-2035

2030-2031

2035-2036

2036-2037

2037-2038

2038-2039

2039-2040

2040-2041

2041-2042

2042-2043

2027-2028

2028-2029

2029-2030

32

14

8

6

5

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

1

1

1

Is Metaculus' strong AGI question too weak?

Jul 6, 9:38 PMJan 1, 10:38 PM

75.53%chance

777

OptionVotes

NO

YES

247

131

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Music
Movies
Culture
Lionsgate and Fathom Bring ‘Twilight’ Saga Back to Theaters for 20th Anniversary
Authors
4
8 months ago

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