New Moon News

Lionsgate and Fathom Bring ‘Twilight’ Saga Back to Theaters for 20th Anniversary

5 months ago

Will a human astronaut land on the moon before 2027 ?

Dec 29, 1:07 PMDec 31, 1:00 PM

2.36%chance

10832776

OptionVotes

YES

12589

599

Who will win the new race to the Moon?

Aug 12, 1:04 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

7511577

OptionProbability

USA

China

Russia

India

Europe

Other

Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship?

Feb 12, 11:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

89.36%chance

194783

OptionVotes

YES

2901

345

Manned mission to a near earth asteroid before landing on the Moon?

Apr 24, 2:18 PMOct 17, 9:59 PM

8.14%chance

332089

OptionVotes

YES

2153

785

Will a good or service be sold on the moon by 2050?

Apr 8, 7:58 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

50.67%chance

361367

OptionVotes

YES

1062

916

By 2030, which countries will have citizens who have walked on the moon? (post-Apollo)

Jan 11, 2:27 PMJan 3, 7:29 PM

181106

OptionProbability

United States

China

Japan

United Kingdom

Canada

Germany

France

India

Russia

Italy

February 8 Manifold Bonanza - Super Bowl vs Japanese Election vs Artemis II Launch

Feb 1, 9:07 AMFeb 8, 11:59 PM

61078

OptionProbability

Seahawks Win - Takaichi Majority - Artemis II No Launch

Patriots Win - Takaichi Majority - Artemis II No Launch

Seahawks Win - Takaichi No Majority - Artemis II No Launch

Patriots Win - Takaichi No Majority - Artemis II No Launch

Seahawks Win - Takaichi Majority - Artemis II Launch

Seahawks Win - Takaichi No Majority - Artemis II Launch

Patriots Win - Takaichi Majority - Artemis II Launch

Patriots Win - Takaichi No Majority - Artemis II Launch

Will significant prosecutorial reform be enacted in South Korea by 2028?

Dec 13, 12:20 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

65.24%chance

3390

OptionVotes

YES

1370

730

Will the USA and China tie in the current Moon Race?

Jun 30, 3:01 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM

25%chance

8379

OptionVotes

YES

173

Tennis-like sport played on another planet or in space by end 2036

Oct 8, 6:25 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

45.15%chance

13328

OptionVotes

YES

1031

945

What year will Japan's pressurized rover land on the Moon?

Apr 14, 8:41 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

5154

OptionProbability

2033-2034

2032-2033

2031-2032

2034-2035

2030-2031

2035-2036

2036-2037

2037-2038

2038-2039

2039-2040

2040-2041

2041-2042

2042-2043

2027-2028

2028-2029

2029-2030

Is Metaculus' strong AGI question too weak?

Jul 6, 9:38 PMJan 1, 10:38 PM

75.28%chance

675

OptionVotes

YES

245

131

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Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
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Lionsgate and Fathom Bring ‘Twilight’ Saga Back to Theaters for 20th Anniversary
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Will a human astronaut land on the moon before 2027 ?

Who will win the new race to the Moon?

Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship?

Manned mission to a near earth asteroid before landing on the Moon?

Will a good or service be sold on the moon by 2050?

By 2030, which countries will have citizens who have walked on the moon? (post-Apollo)

February 8 Manifold Bonanza - Super Bowl vs Japanese Election vs Artemis II Launch

Will significant prosecutorial reform be enacted in South Korea by 2028?

Will the USA and China tie in the current Moon Race?

Tennis-like sport played on another planet or in space by end 2036

What year will Japan's pressurized rover land on the Moon?

Is Metaculus' strong AGI question too weak?

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram