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Prediction markets for New Moon
Will a human astronaut land on the moon before 2027 ?
Dec 29, 1:07 PMDec 31, 1:00 PM
1.37%chance
11342716
OptionVotes
18167
497
OptionProbability
56
43
0
0
0
0
Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship?
Feb 12, 11:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
77.39%chance
3611321
OptionVotes
1851
541
Manned mission to a near earth asteroid before landing on the Moon?
Apr 24, 2:18 PMOct 17, 9:59 PM
5.13%chance
343139
OptionVotes
3203
713
By 2032, which countries will have citizens who have walked on the moon? (post-Apollo)
Jan 12, 2:58 AMJan 3, 7:29 PM
302358
OptionProbability
82
47
40
39
39
35
35
35
34
16
OptionVotes
1062
916
How many Apollo moonwalkers will be alive when the next moonwalker returns to Earth?
Feb 1, 2:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
15605
OptionProbability
40
29
22
7
2
Will China fly people to the moon before Chinese New Year 2028?
Jun 5, 12:15 AMFeb 29, 11:59 PM
34.58%chance
12540
OptionVotes
1375
727
OptionVotes
142
70
Will significant prosecutorial reform be enacted in South Korea by 2028?
Dec 13, 12:20 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM
65.24%chance
3390
OptionVotes
1370
730
Tennis-like sport played on another planet or in space by end 2036
Oct 8, 6:25 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
45.15%chance
13328
OptionVotes
1031
945
Will Elon Musk or Jeff Bezos personally travel to the Moon aboard a vehicle from one of their own companies before 2036?
Jul 28, 7:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
13.86%chance
13296
OptionVotes
249
40