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Prediction markets for New Moon
Will a human astronaut land on the moon before 2027 ?
Dec 29, 1:07 PMDec 31, 1:00 PM
1.37%chance
11342716
OptionVotes
18183
497
OptionProbability
55
41
3
1
0
0
Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship?
Feb 12, 11:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
73.94%chance
3611687
OptionVotes
1685
594
Manned mission to a near earth asteroid before landing on the Moon?
Apr 24, 2:18 PMOct 17, 9:59 PM
5.13%chance
343139
OptionVotes
3203
713
Will SpaceX deliver the next set of human astronauts to the lunar surface?
Jan 10, 2:57 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
39%chance
252880
OptionVotes
1450
455
By 2030, which countries will have citizens who have walked on the moon? (post-Apollo)
Jan 11, 2:27 PMJan 3, 7:29 PM
231413
OptionProbability
61
37
37
36
32
30
30
12
10
10
OptionVotes
1062
916
How many Apollo moonwalkers will be alive when the next moonwalker returns to Earth?
Feb 1, 2:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
15605
OptionProbability
40
29
22
7
2
Will China fly people to the moon before Chinese New Year 2028?
Jun 5, 12:15 AMFeb 29, 11:59 PM
34.58%chance
12540
OptionVotes
1375
727
Tennis-like sport played on another planet or in space by end 2036
Oct 8, 6:25 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
45.15%chance
13328
OptionVotes
1031
945
Will Elon Musk or Jeff Bezos personally travel to the Moon aboard a vehicle from one of their own companies before 2036?
Jul 28, 7:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
13.86%chance
13296
OptionVotes
249
40
Will Saturn have 300 known moons that have been announced to the public by EOY 2026
Nov 5, 7:14 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
42.67%chance
339
OptionVotes
116
86