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Prediction markets for New Moon
OptionVotes
22397
447
OptionProbability
56
43
0
0
0
0
Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship?
Feb 12, 11:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
62.85%chance
3610771
OptionVotes
1301
769
Manned mission to a near earth asteroid before landing on the Moon?
Apr 24, 2:18 PMOct 17, 9:59 PM
5.13%chance
343139
OptionVotes
3203
713
By 2032, which countries will have citizens who have walked on the moon? (post-Apollo)
Jan 12, 2:58 AMJan 3, 7:29 PM
271871
OptionProbability
87
82
40
39
39
35
35
35
34
16
OptionProbability
65
13
6
6
3
3
3
2
OptionVotes
1062
916
OptionProbability
61
26
5
3
2
2
Will China fly people to the moon before Chinese New Year 2028?
Jun 5, 12:15 AMFeb 29, 11:59 PM
34.91%chance
11530
OptionVotes
1365
732
Will significant prosecutorial reform be enacted in South Korea by 2028?
Dec 13, 12:20 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM
65.24%chance
3390
OptionVotes
1370
730
Tennis-like sport played on another planet or in space by end 2036
Oct 8, 6:25 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
45.15%chance
13328
OptionVotes
1031
945
OptionProbability
32
14
8
6
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
1
1
1