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Prediction markets for On the Radar
Will Lockheed Martin win the US Navy Future X Band Radar competition?
Oct 21, 6:53 PMJan 1, 12:35 AM
7.63%chance
816394
OptionVotes
3480
287
Could I buy a legit 8TB (8To) microSD card on amazon before 2026 ?
Dec 13, 2:01 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
3.75%chance
485724
OptionVotes
5308
294
Will Qatar bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?
Jun 10, 12:18 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM
52.77%chance
541909
OptionVotes
1141
1067
Leopold Aschenbrenner makes no public statements of consequence for a 2-year period before 2035
Jun 10, 1:57 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM
39.1%chance
10950
OptionVotes
1248
801
Will Ukraine bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?
Jul 1, 5:10 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
29.43%chance
12429
OptionVotes
1176
910
Will France bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?
Jun 30, 8:47 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
81.35%chance
494
OptionVotes
204
71
Will China bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?
Jun 3, 6:31 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
65.57%chance
670
OptionVotes
113
74
Will North Korea bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?
Jun 6, 1:46 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
22.66%chance
460
OptionVotes
115
47
Will Poland bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?
Jul 1, 5:06 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
44.16%chance
430
OptionVotes
118
103
Will Guyana bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?
Jan 14, 8:08 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
50%chance
120
OptionVotes
100
100
Will China bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2027?
Jun 3, 6:31 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
35.55%chance
120
OptionVotes
86
58
Will Israel bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?
Jun 13, 10:12 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
59.02%chance
110
OptionVotes
80
62
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