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Prediction markets for On the Radar
Will Qatar bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?
Jun 10, 12:18 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM
57.61%chance
552029
OptionVotes
1261
970
Leopold Aschenbrenner makes no public statements of consequence for a 2-year period before 2035
Jun 10, 1:57 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM
39.1%chance
10950
OptionVotes
1248
801
Will Ukraine bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?
Jul 1, 5:10 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
27%chance
16605
OptionVotes
1271
873
Will the US bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?
Jun 3, 6:24 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
44.24%chance
9321
OptionVotes
264
224
Will France bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?
Jun 30, 8:40 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
51.33%chance
253
OptionVotes
75
62
Will Turkey bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?
Jun 14, 7:41 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
20.37%chance
150
OptionVotes
99
25
Will Russia bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?
Jun 6, 1:55 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
58.85%chance
332
OptionVotes
98
83
Will Algeria bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?
Aug 3, 10:11 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
53.67%chance
327
OptionVotes
97
83
Will Italy bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?
Jun 30, 8:21 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
53%chance
225
OptionVotes
71
69
Will Guyana bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?
Jan 14, 8:08 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
50%chance
120
OptionVotes
100
100
Will Singapore bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?
Jun 5, 7:24 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
59.02%chance
110
OptionVotes
80
62
Will Indonesia bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?
Jun 5, 7:39 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
51.96%chance
12
OptionVotes
72
68
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