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Muchova Ends 45-Year-Old Venus Williams’s US Open Comeback

8 months ago

US Open 2025 Pairs Record $90 Million Purse With $100 Caviar Nuggets

Tennis

Business

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US Open 2025 Pairs Record $90 Million Purse With $100 Caviar Nuggets

8 months ago

Software

AI Products

Tech

Google Adds One-Click Vids Editing for Videos Stored in Drive

9 months ago

When will an open-sourced AI win a Gold Medal in the International Math Olympiad?

May 26, 11:35 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

71120747

OptionProbability

2026-2027

2025-2026

2028-2029

2027-2028

2029-2030

2030-2031

2031-2032

2032-2033

2033-2034

2034-2035

2035-2036

2036-2037

2037-2038

2038-2039

2039-2040

2040-2041

2041-2042

2042-2043

2043-2044

2044-2045

2045-2046

Open-Source AI model gets perfect IMO 2026 score? [International Math Olympiad 2026]

Jul 19, 2:27 PMJul 31, 11:59 PM

44%chance

7429741

OptionVotes

YES

11639

8508

After 6 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza?

Nov 2, 6:19 PMNov 9, 11:59 PM

23029047

OptionProbability

Technocratic committee, not elected, internationally supervised

Israel

Hamas

PLO

International Peacekeeping Force

Other

Arab only Peacekeeping Force

A new Gaza-elected government

United States

Territorial rule by tribal clans

PLA

African Peacekeeping Force

Egypt

United Arab Emirates

Qatar

Jordan

Saudi Arabia

Palestinian Islamic Jihad

Turkey

Will Brightline West open for service before 2028?

Jun 11, 11:34 PMJan 1, 7:01 AM

2.46%chance

1310377

OptionVotes

YES

5418

106

Will Marc Andreessen be right that a replacement to the Francis Scott Key Bridge will not open before Mar 26 2027?

Mar 26, 7:52 PMMar 27, 6:59 AM

91.43%chance

9410054

OptionVotes

YES

2554

SOAI#3: Open-ended agents make a meaningful scientific discovery end-to-end (hypothesis, expt, iteration, paper).

Oct 9, 11:04 PMOct 10, 11:04 PM

59.93%chance

395035

OptionVotes

YES

1223

818

Will Brightline West open for service before 2030?

Jun 18, 4:25 PMJan 1, 7:01 AM

28%chance

274229

OptionVotes

YES

1578

205

Will a replacement bridge for Francis Scott Key Bridge in Baltimore be opened to traffic within 10 years of destruction?

Mar 29, 3:08 PMMar 28, 3:59 AM

82.35%chance

392206

OptionVotes

YES

3022

1644

Will Brightline West open for service before 2031?

Aug 13, 7:37 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

39.85%chance

141144

OptionVotes

YES

1393

284

Federal government fellowship approximating discontinued PMF program opens applications by EOY2030?

Apr 20, 6:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.62%chance

9702

OptionVotes

YES

10538

9489

Will USA have an authoritarian president who is openly an AI alignment or degrowth proponent by 2044?

Sep 14, 12:22 PMJan 1, 8:59 PM

26.14%chance

16554

OptionVotes

YES

1042

978

Will Meta censor its future open weights models according to Chinese-developed techniques?

May 6, 4:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

32.09%chance

14135

OptionVotes

YES

1178

1053

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When will an open-sourced AI win a Gold Medal in the International Math Olympiad?

Open-Source AI model gets perfect IMO 2026 score? [International Math Olympiad 2026]

After 6 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza?

Will Brightline West open for service before 2028?

Will Marc Andreessen be right that a replacement to the Francis Scott Key Bridge will not open before Mar 26 2027?

SOAI#3: Open-ended agents make a meaningful scientific discovery end-to-end (hypothesis, expt, iteration, paper).

Will Brightline West open for service before 2030?

Will a replacement bridge for Francis Scott Key Bridge in Baltimore be opened to traffic within 10 years of destruction?

Will Brightline West open for service before 2031?

Federal government fellowship approximating discontinued PMF program opens applications by EOY2030?

Will USA have an authoritarian president who is openly an AI alignment or degrowth proponent by 2044?

Will Meta censor its future open weights models according to Chinese-developed techniques?

Latest stories

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