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Muchova Ends 45-Year-Old Venus Williams’s US Open Comeback

1 year ago

US Open 2025 Pairs Record $90 Million Purse With $100 Caviar Nuggets

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US Open 2025 Pairs Record $90 Million Purse With $100 Caviar Nuggets

11 months ago

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Tech

Google Adds One-Click Vids Editing for Videos Stored in Drive

1 year ago

When will an open-sourced AI win a Gold Medal in the International Math Olympiad?

May 26, 11:35 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

83141411

OptionProbability

2027-2028

2026-2027

2028-2029

2025-2026

2029-2030

2030-2031

2031-2032

2032-2033

2033-2034

2034-2035

2035-2036

2036-2037

2037-2038

2038-2039

2039-2040

2040-2041

2041-2042

2042-2043

2043-2044

2044-2045

2045-2046

Open-Source AI model gets perfect IMO 2026 score? [International Math Olympiad 2026]

Jul 19, 2:27 PMAug 31, 11:59 PM

16.49%chance

22091568

OptionVotes

YES

22645

4161

After 6 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza?

Nov 2, 6:19 PMNov 9, 11:59 PM

23029099

OptionProbability

Technocratic committee, not elected, internationally supervised

Israel

Hamas

PLO

International Peacekeeping Force

Other

Arab only Peacekeeping Force

A new Gaza-elected government

United States

Territorial rule by tribal clans

PLA

African Peacekeeping Force

Egypt

United Arab Emirates

Qatar

Jordan

Saudi Arabia

Palestinian Islamic Jihad

Turkey

Will Marc Andreessen be right that a replacement to the Francis Scott Key Bridge will not open before Mar 26 2027?

Mar 26, 7:52 PMMar 27, 6:59 AM

94.59%chance

9710347

OptionVotes

YES

2847

SOAI#3: Open-ended agents make a meaningful scientific discovery end-to-end (hypothesis, expt, iteration, paper).

Oct 9, 11:04 PMOct 10, 11:04 PM

49.32%chance

425307

OptionVotes

YES

1014

986

Will Brightline West open for service before 2030?

Jun 18, 4:25 PMJan 1, 7:01 AM

21.16%chance

284350

OptionVotes

YES

1732

155

Will a replacement bridge for Francis Scott Key Bridge in Baltimore be opened to traffic within 10 years of destruction?

Mar 29, 3:08 PMMar 28, 3:59 AM

82.35%chance

392206

OptionVotes

YES

3022

1644

Will the US government introduce any domestic restrictions on open-weight LLMs by EOY 2026?

Jun 13, 9:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.56%chance

191540

OptionVotes

YES

1753

571

2 of the top 5 AI's are open source at eoy 2027? (ECI)

Jul 24, 3:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25%chance

7898

OptionVotes

YES

3466

2193

Federal government fellowship approximating discontinued PMF program opens applications by EOY2030?

Apr 20, 6:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.62%chance

9702

OptionVotes

YES

10538

9489

Will a Mythos-tier-at-cybersecurity open-source model be released before end of 2027?

Jul 24, 3:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64.62%chance

10601

OptionVotes

YES

1545

362

Will Meta censor its future open weights models according to Chinese-developed techniques?

May 6, 4:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.72%chance

15185

OptionVotes

YES

1228

1030

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When will an open-sourced AI win a Gold Medal in the International Math Olympiad?

Open-Source AI model gets perfect IMO 2026 score? [International Math Olympiad 2026]

After 6 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza?

Will Marc Andreessen be right that a replacement to the Francis Scott Key Bridge will not open before Mar 26 2027?

SOAI#3: Open-ended agents make a meaningful scientific discovery end-to-end (hypothesis, expt, iteration, paper).

Will Brightline West open for service before 2030?

Will a replacement bridge for Francis Scott Key Bridge in Baltimore be opened to traffic within 10 years of destruction?

Will the US government introduce any domestic restrictions on open-weight LLMs by EOY 2026?

2 of the top 5 AI's are open source at eoy 2027? (ECI)

Federal government fellowship approximating discontinued PMF program opens applications by EOY2030?

Will a Mythos-tier-at-cybersecurity open-source model be released before end of 2027?

Will Meta censor its future open weights models according to Chinese-developed techniques?

Latest stories

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