Organic Law News

Banco de México Marks 100 Years With 10-Peso Silver Coin, Special Banknotes, and President Sheinbaum’s Call to Expand Credit

7 months ago

Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?

Oct 26, 3:24 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

25.96%chance

774387094

OptionVotes

YES

6480

3424

Will there be troops or federal agents at US voting booths in 2026 or 2028?

Feb 3, 9:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.54%chance

9739221

OptionVotes

YES

2045

1669

Will it be illegal to be openly transgender in any part of the United States by 2030?

Aug 28, 2:34 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10%chance

717058

OptionVotes

YES

1709

871

1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.

Dec 28, 11:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.04%chance

286057

OptionVotes

YES

2995

334

Will there be a consensus that hypercomputation is possible by the end of 2050?

Jun 8, 10:05 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

12.22%chance

203337

OptionVotes

YES

2681

373

Will Warren Buffet family's yet-to-be-named ~$127B charitable trust donate to any Effective Altruist orgs prior to 2030?

Jul 2, 9:19 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

34.79%chance

141630

OptionVotes

YES

1809

1260

Will Iranian-backed sleeper cell activity result in US casualties before 2029?

Mar 10, 11:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29%chance

221477

OptionVotes

YES

1103

675

Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?

Jun 3, 9:34 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

41.79%chance

271368

OptionVotes

YES

1207

867

Will any former or current US president openly support sedition before January 1st, 2030?

Mar 19, 4:27 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

49.3%chance

161101

OptionVotes

YES

1036

955

Will elements of the Trump administration attempt a coup by the end of January 2029?

Jan 28, 6:09 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

38%chance

151083

OptionVotes

YES

1196

488

Will LLMs' loss function achieve the level of entropy of human text by the end of 2030?

Jun 8, 9:10 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

60.92%chance

11570

OptionVotes

YES

1249

801

Will the Massachusetts rent control ballot measure pass?

Dec 18, 3:08 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

45.84%chance

5540

OptionVotes

YES

1087

920

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Aug 25, 2025
Aug 25, 2025
Mexico
Economics
Business
Banco de México Marks 100 Years With 10-Peso Silver Coin, Special Banknotes, and President Sheinbaum’s Call to Expand Credit
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7 months ago

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Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?

Will there be troops or federal agents at US voting booths in 2026 or 2028?

Will it be illegal to be openly transgender in any part of the United States by 2030?

1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.

Will there be a consensus that hypercomputation is possible by the end of 2050?

Will Warren Buffet family's yet-to-be-named ~$127B charitable trust donate to any Effective Altruist orgs prior to 2030?

Will Iranian-backed sleeper cell activity result in US casualties before 2029?

Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?

Will any former or current US president openly support sedition before January 1st, 2030?

Will elements of the Trump administration attempt a coup by the end of January 2029?

Will LLMs' loss function achieve the level of entropy of human text by the end of 2030?

Will the Massachusetts rent control ballot measure pass?

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram