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Top stories

‘Bugonia’ Ovation Signals Strong Start for Venice Film Festival

‘Bugonia’ Ovation Signals Strong Start for Venice Film Festival

Authors

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11 months ago

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11 months ago

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1 year ago

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Prediction markets for Oscar

Will an AI-generated movie be nominated for an Oscar before 2030?

Feb 9, 3:48 PMDec 31, 10:01 PM

12.16%chance

10518506

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2557

857

Will "Project Hail Mary" receive more Oscar nominations than "Dune: Part Three"?

Apr 8, 3:23 PMJan 8, 4:20 PM

27.3%chance

272345

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1632

613

Will the Oscars Best Picture winner for 2027 pass the Bechdel Test? (awarded in 2028)

Dec 29, 6:46 PMApr 1, 3:59 AM

54.73%chance

301932

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2090

1821

Will "Michael" receive any Oscar nominations?

Apr 26, 4:14 PMJan 14, 5:13 PM

47.8%chance

221601

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1218

744

Best Actress Oscar is removed, renamed, or combined with Best Actor by mid 2034

Jun 30, 8:12 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

14.85%chance

81474

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2394

418

Will the Oscars have an award for stunt workers by 2030?

Feb 8, 8:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

83.93%chance

131226

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1956

685

Oscars 2027: Will an actor or actress receive 2+ nominations in the same category?

May 18, 5:28 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

17.65%chance

61176

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2160

463

Will there be a new youngest winner for the Academy Awards Oscar for Best Actor by April 1st 2029? (29 years old)

Dec 13, 5:48 AMApr 2, 3:59 AM

33.6%chance

251137

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1538

507

Will a Bollywood or other Indian cinema movie win Best Picture at the Oscars / Academy Awards before the end of 2050?

Mar 25, 9:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51.26%chance

23618

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1162

810

By 2028 will someone who first started directing after completing a Masterclass/Online Course win an Oscar for direction

Mar 31, 12:22 AMJan 2, 12:59 PM

14.2%chance

20602

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1556

845

Will someone with the name Rigoberto/Rigobert win an Oscar, Olympic Gold Medal, or a US Congress Election by EOY2028?

Feb 14, 2:41 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.43%chance

16281

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1227

920

Will the Oscars loosen rules on AI tool use by 2030?

Jun 11, 9:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.36%chance

4129

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1120

893

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