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Top stories

Yuga Labs Unveils ‘Outbreak’ Game for Otherside, ApeCoin Keeps Wheel of Fate Spinning

Yuga Labs Unveils ‘Outbreak’ Game for Otherside, ApeCoin Keeps Wheel of Fate Spinning

Authors

10

5 days ago

Prediction markets for Outbreak

Will there be a "large-scale bird flu outbreak" (100+ human confirmed H5N1 cases) in the US by the end of 2025?

Mar 26, 2:00 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.4%chance

223162535

OptionVotes

YES

NO

27071

3525

Will there be a 1m+ bird flu outbreak in humans in the US by the end of 2025?

Nov 22, 8:43 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4.62%chance

12054974

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15058

4976

[Metaculus] Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

Oct 3, 11:35 PMJan 2, 5:00 PM

2.73%chance

712067

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5974

167

Will measles become endemic in the U.S. due to the current Texas outbreak?

Mar 28, 8:28 PMApr 1, 10:59 PM

10%chance

153270

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2984

432

Will Nod be able to publish a model of the covid outbreak in Wuhan, before 2026?

Jan 24, 4:20 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

12.89%chance

92589

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2599

385

By 2040, a major government will have adopted transgender contagion theory and claimed to have control over the outbreak

Sep 27, 2:45 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

48.15%chance

251026

OptionVotes

NO

YES

987

975

Will another outbreak on par with covid-19 happen within the decade.

Dec 17, 10:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.11%chance

26734

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1161

881

Will the UK have a measles outbreak of 10k cases or more before 2028?

Jul 15, 7:29 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

41.77%chance

29567

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1089

839

Assuming a misaligned AI outbreak inadvertently kill >1 million people by 2035, who will be at fault?

Jul 13, 4:18 AMJan 1, 6:00 AM

8265

OptionProbability

A state-sponsored research team

Other

OpenAI

Meta

xAI

Deepmind

A university-sponsored research team

42

20

15

11

5

5

3

Infectious disease outbreak at CECOT by end-of-year?

Apr 18, 6:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.85%chance

5180

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1179

848

If polio is reintroduced in the Americas until Aug 25th, 2029, will it cause an outbreak w/ ≥200 cases in one country?

Jul 8, 10:26 AMAug 26, 2:59 AM

15.45%chance

392

OptionVotes

YES

NO

178

54

[Long Bet 936 clone] 50% increase in outbreaks in countries of candida auris from 2021 september by april 26. 2033?

Mar 28, 2:25 AMSep 26, 11:59 PM

56.19%chance

338

OptionVotes

NO

YES

438

367

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 23, 2025
Aug 23, 2025
Metaverse
NFT
Video Games
Yuga Labs Unveils ‘Outbreak’ Game for Otherside, ApeCoin Keeps Wheel of Fate Spinning
Authors
10
5 days ago

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