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Prediction markets for Outbreak
Will there be a "large-scale bird flu outbreak" (100+ human confirmed H5N1 cases) in the US by the end of 2025?
Mar 26, 2:00 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
5.77%chance
225189660
OptionVotes
42079
1994
Will there be a 1m+ bird flu outbreak in humans in the US by the end of 2025?
Nov 22, 8:43 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
3.13%chance
12274400
OptionVotes
21432
4725
[Metaculus] Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?
Oct 3, 11:35 PMJan 2, 5:00 PM
1%chance
716043
OptionVotes
9950
101
Will measles become endemic in the U.S. due to the current Texas outbreak?
Mar 28, 8:28 PMApr 1, 10:59 PM
61.6%chance
165696
OptionVotes
1377
658
Will Nod be able to publish a model of the covid outbreak in Wuhan, before 2026?
Jan 24, 4:20 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
12.07%chance
92689
OptionVotes
2699
370
Bird flu H5N1 outbreak in Australia in 2025 or 2026?
Oct 25, 3:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
20.98%chance
61049
OptionVotes
1940
515
By 2040, a major government will have adopted transgender contagion theory and claimed to have control over the outbreak
Sep 27, 2:45 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
48.15%chance
251026
OptionVotes
987
975
OptionVotes
1979
505
Will another outbreak on par with covid-19 happen within the decade.
Dec 17, 10:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
37.11%chance
26734
OptionVotes
1161
881
Will Colorado implement horse movement restrictions due to the EHV-1/EHM outbreak by December 12?
Nov 23, 8:39 PMDec 12, 11:59 PM
33.63%chance
8585
OptionVotes
1405
712
Will the UK have a measles outbreak of 10k cases or more before 2028?
Jul 15, 7:29 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
41.77%chance
29567
OptionVotes
1089
839
Will the origin and outbreak of the Wildfire virus from The Walking Dead be explained before 2030?
Feb 13, 12:44 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
91.1%chance
2110
OptionVotes
180
36
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