Performance News

Tesla Launches Model Y Performance in Europe at £61,990

8 months ago

Software

Video Games

Tech

Nvidia Upgrades GeForce Now With RTX 5080 GPUs for 5K Cloud Gaming

9 months ago

Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2028?

Nov 8, 8:25 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

74.47%chance

292287764

OptionVotes

YES

7849

3528

Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2027?

Nov 8, 11:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

32.08%chance

11442405

OptionVotes

YES

1455

687

Before 2035, will there exist any AI that can perform arbitrary tasks in Minecraft?

May 25, 10:11 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

72.87%chance

8628116

OptionVotes

YES

1639

610

By 2027 there will be a robot capable of performing every task a residential electrician can do

Jan 19, 5:29 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

9.7%chance

11122065

OptionVotes

YES

3665

1447

Will I perform at Fyre Festival II?

Jan 12, 5:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4.58%chance

368692

OptionVotes

YES

9591

1588

Will an AI achieve >80% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2027?

Feb 7, 7:34 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

39%chance

608337

OptionVotes

YES

1254

802

Will the performance jump from GPT4->GPT5 be less than the one from GPT3->GPT4?

Apr 1, 6:39 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

79.43%chance

826082

OptionVotes

YES

1499

811

Will Graham Platner perform better than the Alaskan Democratic candidate for senate?

Mar 10, 8:30 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

65.54%chance

53295

OptionVotes

YES

138

Will surgical robots perform more than 75% of a surgical procedure in a human patient, autonomously, before 2030?

Aug 2, 2:02 AMDec 28, 11:59 PM

30.45%chance

351585

OptionVotes

YES

1039

972

Public figure comes out as a living performance art project before 2030

May 28, 1:35 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

47.58%chance

211069

OptionVotes

YES

1276

435

Is it possible to "hack" an average human into performing arbitrary behaviors?

Dec 25, 12:18 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

35.54%chance

17971

OptionVotes

YES

1118

699

Will an AI agent autonomously perform peer-review-quality LHC particle physics analysis by December 2029

Dec 23, 8:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.55%chance

3121

OptionVotes

YES

1351

1158

Latest stories

Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Europe
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Tesla Launches Model Y Performance in Europe at £61,990
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8 months ago
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
Software
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Tech
Nvidia Upgrades GeForce Now With RTX 5080 GPUs for 5K Cloud Gaming
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9 months ago

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Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2028?

Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2027?

Before 2035, will there exist any AI that can perform arbitrary tasks in Minecraft?

By 2027 there will be a robot capable of performing every task a residential electrician can do

Will I perform at Fyre Festival II?

Will an AI achieve >80% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2027?

Will the performance jump from GPT4->GPT5 be less than the one from GPT3->GPT4?

Will Graham Platner perform better than the Alaskan Democratic candidate for senate?

Will surgical robots perform more than 75% of a surgical procedure in a human patient, autonomously, before 2030?

Public figure comes out as a living performance art project before 2030

Is it possible to "hack" an average human into performing arbitrary behaviors?

Will an AI agent autonomously perform peer-review-quality LHC particle physics analysis by December 2029

Latest stories

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