Performance News

Tesla Launches Model Y Performance in Europe at £61,990

5 months ago

Software

Video Games

Tech

Nvidia Upgrades GeForce Now With RTX 5080 GPUs for 5K Cloud Gaming

6 months ago

Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2028?

Nov 8, 8:25 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

62.22%chance

270269974

OptionVotes

YES

5677

4517

Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2027?

Nov 8, 11:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

35%chance

9038240

OptionVotes

YES

1363

734

Before 2035, will there exist any AI that can perform arbitrary tasks in Minecraft?

May 25, 10:11 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

69.99%chance

8526818

OptionVotes

YES

1527

655

By 2027 there will be a robot capable of performing every task a residential electrician can do

Jan 19, 5:29 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

10.02%chance

11121965

OptionVotes

YES

3565

1458

Will I perform at Fyre Festival II?

Jan 12, 5:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4.1%chance

358651

OptionVotes

YES

10492

1547

Will the performance jump from GPT4->GPT5 be less than the one from GPT3->GPT4?

Apr 1, 6:39 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

79.43%chance

826082

OptionVotes

YES

1499

811

Will an AI achieve >80% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2027?

Feb 7, 7:34 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

45.67%chance

456069

OptionVotes

YES

1094

919

Will surgical robots perform more than 75% of a surgical procedure in a human patient, autonomously, before 2030?

Aug 2, 2:02 AMDec 28, 11:59 PM

32%chance

351535

OptionVotes

YES

995

989

Public figure comes out as a living performance art project before 2030

May 28, 1:35 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

47.58%chance

211069

OptionVotes

YES

1276

435

Is it possible to "hack" an average human into performing arbitrary behaviors?

Dec 25, 12:18 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

35.54%chance

17971

OptionVotes

YES

1118

699

Will a study performed by the Dog Aging Project show a statistically significant effect of rapamycin on lifespan extension between control groups and a treatment group?

Sep 13, 3:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

72.64%chance

12318

OptionVotes

YES

1120

938

Will an AI agent autonomously perform peer-review-quality LHC particle physics analysis by December 2029

Dec 23, 8:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.55%chance

3121

OptionVotes

YES

1351

1158

Latest stories

Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Europe
Automobile
Business
Tesla Launches Model Y Performance in Europe at £61,990
Authors
12
5 months ago
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
Software
Video Games
Tech
Nvidia Upgrades GeForce Now With RTX 5080 GPUs for 5K Cloud Gaming
Authors
13
6 months ago

Join our channels

Get the latest stories live on any device.

WhatsApp
Top Stories
Join
Telegram
Top Stories
Join

Performance News

Top stories

Prediction markets for Performance

Prediction markets for Performance

Prediction markets for Performance

Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2028?

Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2027?

Before 2035, will there exist any AI that can perform arbitrary tasks in Minecraft?

By 2027 there will be a robot capable of performing every task a residential electrician can do

Will I perform at Fyre Festival II?

Will the performance jump from GPT4->GPT5 be less than the one from GPT3->GPT4?

Will an AI achieve >80% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2027?

Will surgical robots perform more than 75% of a surgical procedure in a human patient, autonomously, before 2030?

Public figure comes out as a living performance art project before 2030

Is it possible to "hack" an average human into performing arbitrary behaviors?

Will a study performed by the Dog Aging Project show a statistically significant effect of rapamycin on lifespan extension between control groups and a treatment group?

Will an AI agent autonomously perform peer-review-quality LHC particle physics analysis by December 2029

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram