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Prediction markets for Private Processing
Is establishing a truth economy that produces more than 50% of the global GDP before AI fooms critical to survival?
May 18, 4:27 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
39.58%chance
7634311
OptionVotes
1236
809
OptionVotes
3008
332
New pipeline project proposed in Canada in next 6 months?
Jun 8, 1:09 AMDec 8, 1:06 AM
2.37%chance
267696
OptionVotes
6422
156
Will a quantum computer prove capable of breaking 2048 bit RSA encryption by 2030?
Sep 25, 8:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
18.38%chance
424565
OptionVotes
981
837
Will New Zealand Crown Research Institutes be centralised by 2026?
Jan 7, 11:01 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM
10.22%chance
22109
OptionVotes
2964
337
Will any of Petrobras, Banco do Brasil or Caixa Economica Federal be privatized until EOY 2026?
Aug 25, 9:21 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM
9.94%chance
62020
OptionVotes
3010
332
OptionProbability
69
68
63
62
60
56
48
41
41
41
34
Will Manifold help me secure 1:1 tutoring students I love working with by EOY 2025?
Dec 1, 3:21 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM
50.65%chance
7826
OptionVotes
1013
987
Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?
Aug 10, 5:55 PMDec 18, 2:59 PM
59.88%chance
19407
OptionVotes
1081
928
OptionVotes
1233
811
OptionProbability
76
72
69
50
50
1
Will a Russian actor be publicly attributed with stealing weights from a frontier AI developer before 2030?
Oct 30, 11:42 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
50.47%chance
3107
OptionVotes
1059
1041
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