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Prediction markets for Reels
Will Javier Milei be reelected for a second term as the President of Argentina?
Dec 21, 6:40 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
60%chance
10436700
OptionVotes
1210
804
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be reelected president of Ukraine?
Jan 16, 5:53 PMDec 31, 4:59 AM
14.1%chance
18315817
OptionVotes
2224
91
If Trump is reelected, will he show signs of age-related mental decline by the end of his term?
Jul 4, 11:15 AMJan 7, 4:59 AM
89.98%chance
372731
OptionVotes
2997
334
Conditional on trump being reelected in 2024, will he become a dictator?
Feb 28, 11:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
11.93%chance
222724
OptionVotes
996
757
Will Maura Healey be reelected as Governor of Massachusetts in 2026?
Feb 7, 7:11 PMNov 4, 6:59 AM
87.01%chance
91804
OptionVotes
2588
386
By when will any of the the UK/EU/US enact content regulation on short form videos (TikTok, Instagram Reels, etc)
Feb 22, 6:11 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM
2165
OptionProbability
60
56
50
40
39
Wisconsin US House District Three General Election - Will Derek Van Orden be reelected?
Mar 3, 6:49 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM
38.56%chance
3143
OptionVotes
126
79
Will Chuck Schumer announce he’s not running for reelection before EOY 2027?
Feb 5, 12:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
59.44%chance
7123
OptionVotes
123
83
What do you believe is the upper threshold of harm that AI/machine systems could cause this century (w/ 1-99% threat)?
Apr 6, 2:36 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
571
OptionProbability
49
29
12
9
Will Javier Milei be reelected for a second term as the President of Argentina?
Aug 1, 4:23 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
61.17%chance
543
OptionVotes
106
90
Will a sitting head of state post a video of themselves dancing on TikTok or Instagram Reels by end of 2026?
Apr 17, 9:31 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM
56.62%chance
330
OptionVotes
207
194
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