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Prediction markets for Reels
Will Javier Milei be reelected for a second term as the President of Argentina?
Dec 21, 6:40 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
59.74%chance
9434661
OptionVotes
1204
808
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be reelected president of Ukraine?
Jan 16, 5:53 PMDec 31, 4:59 AM
21%chance
18215765
OptionVotes
2021
133
Conditional on trump being reelected in 2024, will he become a dictator?
Feb 28, 11:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
11.93%chance
222724
OptionVotes
996
757
If Trump is reelected, will he show signs of age-related mental decline by the end of his term?
Jul 4, 11:15 AMJan 7, 4:59 AM
89.96%chance
362451
OptionVotes
2994
334
Will Maura Healey be reelected as Governor of Massachusetts in 2026?
Feb 7, 7:11 PMNov 4, 6:59 AM
85.04%chance
81479
OptionVotes
2384
419
Conditional on no Kirchners being on any major party presidential ticket, will Milei be reelected in 2027?
Nov 29, 2:35 AMDec 2, 2:59 AM
58.78%chance
4176
OptionVotes
119
84
By when will any of the the UK/EU/US enact content regulation on short form videos (TikTok, Instagram Reels, etc)
Feb 22, 6:11 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM
2165
OptionProbability
60
56
50
40
39
If Javier Milei is reelected, will a republican candidate win the 2028 US presidental election?
Oct 3, 2:41 AMNov 5, 11:59 PM
48.31%chance
280
OptionVotes
103
97
What do you believe is the upper threshold of harm that AI/machine systems could cause this century (w/ 1-99% threat)?
Apr 6, 2:36 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
571
OptionProbability
49
29
12
9
Will a sitting head of state post a video of themselves dancing on TikTok or Instagram Reels by end of 2026?
Apr 17, 9:31 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM
54.4%chance
220
OptionVotes
202
197
Katy Young Yaroslavsky reelected to Los Angeles City Council in 2026?
Mar 28, 2:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
56.94%chance
215
OptionVotes
115
87
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