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Prediction markets for Sovereign
Will Somaliland be an internationally-recognized sovereign state before 2040?
May 28, 8:00 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM
78.41%chance
246226
OptionVotes
1706
693
OptionVotes
4114
2467
Sovereign nation publicly declares bitcoin reserves by 2030?
Aug 9, 6:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
66.27%chance
91562
OptionVotes
1402
713
SOAI#6: “AI neutrality” emerges as a foreign policy doctrine as some nations cannot or fail to develop sovereign AI
Oct 9, 11:06 PMDec 13, 12:06 AM
21.52%chance
171106
OptionVotes
1910
524
Before 2028, will a sovereign state directly manipulate a real-money prediction market?
Aug 12, 9:19 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
57.1%chance
8909
OptionVotes
1154
867
OptionProbability
40
29
22
8
Will any state claim part of the Moon's surface as its sovereign territory before 2040?
Dec 11, 8:32 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
51.86%chance
21764
OptionVotes
1164
804
OptionProbability
486
347
OptionProbability
40
38
11
6
6
Will the US sovereign wealth fund invest in Blackstone or TPG by 2028?
Feb 3, 11:15 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
38.46%chance
5482
OptionVotes
1265
790
OptionVotes
1131
884
OptionVotes
130
81