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Prediction markets for Sovereign
Will Somaliland be an internationally-recognized sovereign state before 2040?
May 28, 8:00 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM
76.12%chance
256327
OptionVotes
1578
730
OptionVotes
4731
2328
Sovereign nation publicly declares bitcoin reserves by 2030?
Aug 9, 6:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
65.95%chance
101567
OptionVotes
1392
718
Before 2028, will a sovereign state directly manipulate a real-money prediction market?
Aug 12, 9:19 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
59.17%chance
9959
OptionVotes
1204
831
Will any state claim part of the Moon's surface as its sovereign territory before 2040?
Dec 11, 8:32 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
51.86%chance
21764
OptionVotes
1164
804
OptionVotes
1183
846
Will the US sovereign wealth fund invest in Blackstone or TPG by 2028?
Feb 3, 11:15 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
38.46%chance
5482
OptionVotes
1265
790
OptionVotes
319
11
OptionVotes
161
119
Will SADR (Western Sahara) be a sovereign state before 2040?
May 29, 1:53 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM
20.38%chance
5118
OptionVotes
172
49
OptionVotes
130
81
Will the us default on its Sovereign debt before the current President leaves office?
Aug 22, 3:23 AMJan 21, 11:59 PM
5110
OptionProbability
53
24
24