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Top stories

China’s Wang Yi Courts India, Afghanistan and Pakistan in Security and CPEC Push

China’s Wang Yi Courts India, Afghanistan and Pakistan in Security and CPEC Push

Authors

37

9 months ago

Prediction markets for Special Representatives

xAI sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?

Sep 28, 5:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

96.88%chance

2920629

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5573

179

The Trump “J6” DC Election Interference Indictment (linked)

Sep 4, 3:06 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

97975

OptionProbability

Trump isn’t convicted of any of these charges

Conviction(s) in exactly 1 of the 4 charges.

Conviction(s) in exactly 2 of the 4 charges.

Conviction(s) in exactly 3 of the 4 charges.

Conviction(s) in all 4 of the charges.

98

1

1

1

1

Scott Wiener wins the 2026 House election?

Oct 22, 5:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

72.82%chance

155261

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1637

611

Will a democrat win the CA 1st congressional district special election to replace Doug LaMalfa?

Jan 6, 5:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.85%chance

53193

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1948

513

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

79.08%chance

382747

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1720

680

Will Dan Osborn be elected to Nebraska's US Senate seat in 2026?

Mar 3, 1:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.49%chance

51149

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1021

952

Will Democrats retake the House before the 120th Congress?

Nov 13, 8:07 AMJan 21, 5:59 AM

3.35%chance

6670

OptionVotes

YES

NO

537

19

Ukraine holds elections in 2026?

Dec 29, 8:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.94%chance

12651

OptionVotes

YES

NO

169

59

Who will win the November 2026 election for the Texas State Senate District 9 seat?

Mar 29, 9:30 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

5596

OptionProbability

Taylor Rehmet

Leigh Wambsganss

Other

76

18

6

US Congress members fight with deadly weapons in Congress before 2035.

Jan 8, 6:33 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

9.88%chance

7388

OptionVotes

YES

NO

190

121

Who will win the 2026 Democratic primary for Texas's 18th congressional district?

Feb 19, 11:36 AMMay 26, 12:00 AM

10346

OptionProbability

Christian Menefee

Al Green

81

19

Will there be any Congressional Special Election flips in the 119th Congress?

Dec 4, 10:41 PMNov 3, 10:59 PM

16.48%chance

2155

OptionVotes

YES

NO

225

44

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
China
India
Pakistan
China’s Wang Yi Courts India, Afghanistan and Pakistan in Security and CPEC Push
Authors
37
9 months ago

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