Ten Most Wanted News
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Prediction markets for Ten Most Wanted
Instant deepfakes of anyone (doing anything) by the end of 2027?
Dec 7, 10:12 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
78.04%chance
508725007
OptionVotes
16811
12177
Alcatraz holds ten federal inmates for one week before January 20, 2029?
May 4, 11:58 PMJan 19, 11:59 PM
8.4%chance
11746291
OptionVotes
33053
3031
Will the next Republican victory lead to an unprecedented consolidation of power?
Nov 5, 3:49 PMNov 5, 11:59 PM
5.74%chance
355339
OptionVotes
1377
943
Who will finish top 2 in any state for the 2028 Democratic primary for President?
Dec 12, 10:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
193152
OptionProbability
72
48
40
38
34
32
27
25
24
20
19
16
15
12
9
8
8
5
5
OptionVotes
1700
850
Will Germany pass a law that allows a weekly maximum working time of 48 hours per week before the end of 2027?
May 12, 8:58 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
64.88%chance
9586
OptionVotes
1359
736
[Carlini questions] AI system can produce a high-quality live-action hour-long movie given a rough script
Mar 24, 2:23 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
9413
OptionProbability
66
51
40
22
5
OptionProbability
47
17
16
11
9
OptionProbability
44
26
19
11